In Game 1 of the WNBA playoffs semifinals, the New York Liberty will face the Las Vegas Aces.

Before you place an informed wager on the contest, check out the best bets available for Sunday’s game according to our computer predictions.

Liberty vs. Aces Predictions

Spread: Liberty (-4.5) to Cover

• Both BetMGM and the model expect the Liberty to walk away with the win, but the model spread (5.1) is 0.6 points further in their direction.
• The Liberty are 20-22-0 ATS this season.
• New York has a 15-20 record against the spread this season when favored by 4.5 points or more.
• The Aces have a 20-22-0 record against the spread this year.
• Las Vegas is a perfect 1-0 against the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this season.

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Total: Over 163.5

• The model projects a total 1.1 points higher than the one set by BetMGM for this game.
• Out of 42 games so far this year, the Liberty have had 21 with over 163.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under.
• A total of 21 Las Vegas’ games this season (out of 42) have gone over 163.5 total points scored.
• The teams have hit the over in 19 of the Liberty’s 42 games with a set total.
• The Aces have gone over in 17 of their 42 games with a set total (40.5%).

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Moneyline Winner: Liberty (-175)

• Prediction: Liberty 85, Aces 80
• Las Vegas has split the two games it has played as the underdog this season.

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Where to Watch Liberty vs. Aces: Live Stream & TV Channel

• When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET
• Where: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York
• TV Channel: ABC
• Live Stream: Fubo

Liberty Leaders

• Breanna Stewart leads the Liberty in scoring, tallying 20.4 points per game to go with 8.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists.
• Jonquel Jones is New York’s leading rebounder, grabbing nine per game, while Sabrina Ionescu is its best passer, distributing 6.2 assists in each contest.
• The Liberty get the most three-point shooting production out of Ionescu, who knocks down 2.8 threes per game.
• Stewart is New York’s leader in steals, averaging 1.7 steals per game, while Jones leads them in blocks with 1.3 per contest.

Aces Leaders

• A’ja Wilson sits atop the Aces leaderboards for scoring and rebounding with 26.9 points and 11.9 rebounds per game.
• Las Vegas’ assist leader is Jackie Young with 5.3 per game. She also scores 15.8 points per game and grabs 4.4 rebounds per game.
• Kelsey Plum is the top shooter from deep for the Aces, hitting 2.9 threes per game.
• Wilson’s steals (1.8 steals per game) and blocks (2.6 blocks per game) pace Las Vegas on defense.

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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