Predictions for Red Sox vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 27
Friday’s game that pits the Boston Red Sox (80-79) against the Tampa Bay Rays (78-81) at Fenway Park should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Red Sox. Game time is at 7:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 27.
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Red Sox vs. Rays Matchup Info
- When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: NESN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Red Sox vs. Rays Predictions
- Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Rays 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -135 | +114 | 8 | -115 | -105 |
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Red Sox Betting Insights
- Boston has been the favorite in 78 games this season, and has come away with the win 42 times (53.8%) in those contests.
- This season, the Red Sox have been victorious 28 times in 45 chances when named as a favorite of at least -135 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Contests involving Boston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 80 of 157 chances this season.
- The Red Sox went 1-3 across the four games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings, Boston and its opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Rays Betting Insights
- Tampa Bay has gone 39-50 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 43.8% of those games).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Rays have a 15-24 record (winning only 38.5% of their games).
- Tampa Bay has played in 159 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 66 times (66-86-7).
- In 12 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Rays have a record of 5-7.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Tampa Bay and its opponents are 2-12-1 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Red Sox vs. Rays Probable Pitchers
Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Nick Pivetta
- The 31-year-old has an ERA of 4.21 and 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .234 in 26 games this season.
- Nick Pivetta’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (9-6).
- Pivetta’s team is 14-11 when he starts this season.
- Games Pivetta has started this season hit the over 11 times in 25 chances.
Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Taj Bradley
- The 23-year-old has put together a 4.30 ERA and 10 strikeouts per nine innings in 24 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .238 to his opponents.
- The Rays are 5-9 in Bradley’s 14 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Bradley’s team has won 11 of his 24 starts.
- Taj Bradley has had 24 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in seven of those matchups.
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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 80-79 |
| Home | 37-41 |
| Road | 43-38 |
| One-Run Games | 18-12 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 63-12 |
Rays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 78-81 |
| Home | 42-39 |
| Road | 36-42 |
| One-Run Games | 29-22 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 44-8 |
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