Predictions for Guardians vs. Astros: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 27
Friday’s game features the Cleveland Guardians (92-67) and the Houston Astros (86-73) squaring off at Progressive Field in what should be a competitive matchup, with a projected 5-4 win for the Guardians according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 7:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 27.
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Guardians vs. Astros Matchup Info
- When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Guardians vs. Astros Predictions
- Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Astros 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Guardians vs. Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -125 | +105 | 8 | -102 | -118 |
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Guardians Betting Insights
- Cleveland has won 64, or 64.6%, of the 99 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This year, the Guardians have won 51 of 76 games when listed as at least -125 or better on the moneyline.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 69 of 159 opportunities.
- The Guardians went 7-4 across the 11 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — Cleveland and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
Astros Betting Insights
- Houston is 19-22 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 46.3% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +105 or longer, the Astros have gone 9-9 (50%).
- Houston has combined with opponents to go over the total 65 times this season for a 65-87-7 record against the over/under.
- The Astros have played as underdogs in three of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
- Houston and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Guardians vs. Astros Probable Pitchers
Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Joey Cantillo
- The 24-year-old has pitched to a 4.63 ERA this season with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.3 walks per nine across eight games.
- Joey Cantillo’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Cantillo’s team has a 4-3 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Cantillo have a 2-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Ronel Blanco
- The 31-year-old has put together a 2.88 ERA and 9 strikeouts per nine innings in 29 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .193 to opposing hitters.
- The Astros are 5-3 in Blanco’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Blanco’s team has a 19-9 record in his starts this season.
- Ronel Blanco has had 28 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 11 of those outings.
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Guardians’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 92-67 |
| Home | 50-28 |
| Road | 42-39 |
| One-Run Games | 26-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 66-9 |
Astros’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 86-73 |
| Home | 46-35 |
| Road | 40-38 |
| One-Run Games | 17-27 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 64-10 |
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