Thursday’s game that pits the Minnesota Twins (82-76) against the Miami Marlins (58-100) at Target Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Twins, who are slightly favored in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 7:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 26.

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Twins vs. Marlins Matchup Info

• When: Thursday, September 26, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Twins vs. Marlins Predictions

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Twins vs. Marlins Betting Lines

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Twins Betting Insights

• Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 108 games this year, and has walked away with the win 64 times (59.3%) in those games.
• The Twins have a win-loss record of 8-1 when favored by -250 or better by sportsbooks this year.
• Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 80 of 157 opportunities.
• The Twins played as the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they finished 5-7 in those matchups.
• Over its past 15 matchups, Minnesota and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

• Miami has been the underdog on the moneyline 140 total times this season. It has finished 54-86 in those games.
• The Marlins have a record of 6-11 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +205 or longer (35.3%).
• Miami has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 158 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 82 of those games (82-68-8).
• The Marlins have played as underdogs in 15 of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
• Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Twins vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: David Festa

• The 24-year-old has pitched to a 4.80 ERA this season with 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.3 walks per nine across 13 games.
• David Festa’s team is 4-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• Festa’s team has a 5-7 record in his starts this season.
• Games started by Festa have a 3-7-2 record at hitting the over this season.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Valente Bellozo

• The 24-year-old has a 3.82 ERA and 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings across 12 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .252 to opposing batters.
• The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog in 12 of Bellozo’s starts this season, and they went 6-6 in those matchups.
• Bellozo’s team has a 6-6 record in his starts this season.
• Bellozo’s starts went over the run total four times in 12 games with a set total this season.

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Twins’ 2024 Performance

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

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