Thursday’s contest between the Kansas City Royals (84-74) and the Washington Nationals (69-89) at Nationals Park is expected to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 6-5, with the Royals securing the victory. First pitch is at 1:05 p.m. ET on Sept. 26.

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Royals vs. Nationals Matchup Info

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Royals vs. Nationals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Royals 6, Nationals 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Royals vs. Nationals Betting Lines

Royals vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Royals -180 +150 8.5 -105 -124

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Royals Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has won 48, or 61.5%, of the 78 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This year, the Royals have won 17 of 24 games when listed as at least -180 or better on the moneyline.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 68 of 158 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Royals played as the moneyline favorite in nine of their past 15 games, and they went 4-5 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Kansas City and its opponents combined to go over the total four times.

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has been the moneyline underdog 131 total times this season. It has finished 54-77 in those games.
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +150 or longer, the Nationals have a record of 17-24 (41.5%).
  • Washington has played in 158 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 73 times (73-77-8).
  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in 11 of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents have failed to hit the over 11 times.

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Royals vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Michael Wacha

  • The 33-year-old has pitched to a 3.28 ERA this season with 8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.4 walks per nine across 28 games.
  • When Michael Wacha starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 10-3.
  • Wacha’s team has won 16 of his 28 starts this season.
  • Out of Wacha’s 28 starts with a total this season, 11 have hit the over.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin

  • In 31 games this season, the 35-year-old has an ERA of 5.58, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .299 against him.
  • The Nationals are 9-20 in Corbin’s 29 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Corbin’s team has an 11-20 record in his starts this season.
  • Corbin’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 14 of 31 games.

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Royals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 84-74
Home 45-36
Road 39-38
One-Run Games 17-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 52-20

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 69-89
Home 36-41
Road 33-48
One-Run Games 14-23
Scoring 5+ Runs 49-17

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