Thursday’s contest between the Milwaukee Brewers (90-68) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (74-84) at PNC Park should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Brewers taking home the win. First pitch is at 12:35 p.m. ET on Sept. 26.

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Brewers vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Brewers vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Brewers vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Brewers -122 +102 8 -112 -108

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Brewers Betting Insights

  • Milwaukee has been the favorite in 89 games this season, and has come away with the win 52 times (58.4%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Brewers have been victorious 43 times in 70 chances when named as a favorite of at least -122 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 81 of 158 opportunities.
  • The Brewers went 5-1 over the six games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Milwaukee combined with its opponents to go over the total six times.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has a 37-55 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40.2% of those games).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, the Pirates have a 31-45 record (winning 40.8% of their games).
  • Pittsburgh has had an over/under set by bookmakers 158 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 75 of those games (75-78-5).
  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents are 5-10-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Brewers vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Brewers’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Civale

  • The 29-year-old has pitched to a 4.53 ERA this season with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.0 walks per nine across 30 games.
  • When Aaron Civale starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-8.
  • Civale’s team has a 12-18 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Civale have an 18-11-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Mitch Keller

  • The 28-year-old has put together a 4.21 ERA and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings across 30 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .260 to his opponents.
  • The Pirates are 10-6 in Keller’s 16 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Keller’s team has a 17-13 record in his starts this season.
  • Mitch Keller has had 30 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 16 of those matchups.

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Brewers’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 90-68
Home 45-33
Road 45-35
One-Run Games 28-25
Scoring 5+ Runs 62-12

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 74-84
Home 39-41
Road 35-43
One-Run Games 25-26
Scoring 5+ Runs 44-19

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