Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 26
Thursday’s contest between the Milwaukee Brewers (90-68) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (74-84) at PNC Park should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Brewers taking home the win. First pitch is at 12:35 p.m. ET on Sept. 26.
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Brewers vs. Pirates Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, September 26, 2024 at 12:35 p.m. ET
- Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: BSWI
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Brewers vs. Pirates Predictions
- Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -122 | +102 | 8 | -112 | -108 |
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Brewers Betting Insights
- Milwaukee has been the favorite in 89 games this season, and has come away with the win 52 times (58.4%) in those contests.
- This season, the Brewers have been victorious 43 times in 70 chances when named as a favorite of at least -122 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 81 of 158 opportunities.
- The Brewers went 5-1 over the six games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Milwaukee combined with its opponents to go over the total six times.
Pirates Betting Insights
- Pittsburgh has a 37-55 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40.2% of those games).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, the Pirates have a 31-45 record (winning 40.8% of their games).
- Pittsburgh has had an over/under set by bookmakers 158 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 75 of those games (75-78-5).
- The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents are 5-10-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Brewers vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers
Brewers’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Civale
- The 29-year-old has pitched to a 4.53 ERA this season with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.0 walks per nine across 30 games.
- When Aaron Civale starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-8.
- Civale’s team has a 12-18 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Civale have an 18-11-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Mitch Keller
- The 28-year-old has put together a 4.21 ERA and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings across 30 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .260 to his opponents.
- The Pirates are 10-6 in Keller’s 16 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Keller’s team has a 17-13 record in his starts this season.
- Mitch Keller has had 30 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 16 of those matchups.
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Brewers’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 90-68 |
| Home | 45-33 |
| Road | 45-35 |
| One-Run Games | 28-25 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 62-12 |
Pirates’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 74-84 |
| Home | 39-41 |
| Road | 35-43 |
| One-Run Games | 25-26 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 44-19 |
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