Predictions for Twins vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 25
Wednesday’s contest at Target Field has the Minnesota Twins (81-76) going head-to-head against the Miami Marlins (58-99) at 7:40 p.m. ET. Our computer prediction projects a 5-4 victory for the Twins, who are a small favorite based on our model.
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Twins vs. Marlins Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Twins vs. Marlins Predictions
- Score Prediction: Twins 5, Marlins 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Twins vs. Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -192 | +160 | 8.5 | -105 | -115 |
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Twins Betting Insights
- Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 107 games this year, and has walked away with the win 63 times (58.9%) in those games.
- This season, the Twins have come away with a win 21 times in 25 chances when named as a favorite of at least -192 or better on the moneyline.
- Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 79 of 156 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Twins were the moneyline favorite for 11 of their past 15 games, and they finished 4-7 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Minnesota and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Marlins Betting Insights
- Miami has put together a 54-85 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 38.8% of those games).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +160 or longer, the Marlins have a record of 17-33 (34%).
- Miami has played in 157 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 81 times (81-68-8).
- In 15 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Marlins had a record of 5-10.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
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Twins vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers
Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson
- The 23-year-old has pitched to a 4.00 ERA this season with 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.2 walks per nine across 27 games.
- Simeon Woods Richardson’s team is 9-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Richardson’s team has won 16 of his 27 starts this season.
- In games Richardson has started this season, the teams are 13-13-0 at hitting the over.
Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Edward Cabrera
- The 26-year-old has amassed a 5.12 ERA and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings across 19 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .229 to opposing hitters.
- The Marlins have been the underdog on the moneyline in 16 of Cabrera’s starts this season, and they went 6-10 in those matchups.
- Cabrera’s team has won eight of his 19 starts.
- Edward Cabrera has had 19 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 12 of those outings hit the over.
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Twins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 81-76 |
| Home | 42-34 |
| Road | 39-42 |
| One-Run Games | 22-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 56-12 |
Marlins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 58-99 |
| Home | 30-51 |
| Road | 28-48 |
| One-Run Games | 23-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 35-17 |
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