Predictions for Royals vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 25
Wednesday’s game that pits the Kansas City Royals (83-74) against the Washington Nationals (69-88) at Nationals Park should be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Royals. First pitch is at 6:45 p.m. ET on Sept. 25.
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Royals vs. Nationals Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 6:45 p.m. ET
- Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
- How to Watch on TV: MASN2
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Royals vs. Nationals Predictions
- Score Prediction: Royals 6, Nationals 5
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Royals vs. Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | -135 | +114 | 7.5 | -115 | -105 |
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Royals Betting Insights
- Kansas City has been victorious in 47, or 61%, of the 77 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Royals have come away with a win 29 times in 45 chances when named as a favorite of at least -135 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 68 of 157 opportunities.
- The Royals played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their past 15 games, and they finished 3-5 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Kansas City and its opponents combined to go over the total four times (all 15 games had set totals).
Nationals Betting Insights
- Washington has gone 54-76 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 41.5% of those games).
- The Nationals are 35-62 (winning only 36.1% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
- Washington has played in 157 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 73 times (73-76-8).
- In 11 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Nationals had a record of 2-9.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
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Royals vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers
Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen
- The 32-year-old has pitched to a 3.43 ERA this season with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.1 walks per nine across 24 games.
- Michael Lorenzen’s team has been victorious in 25% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-6.
- Lorenzen’s team has won nine of his 23 starts this season.
- Games Lorenzen has started this season hit the over eight times in 23 chances.
Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: DJ Herz
- The 23-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.30, with 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings in 18 games this season. Opponents are hitting .227 against him.
- The Nationals have a 4-9 record in Herz’s 13 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Herz’s 18 starts, his team is 7-11.
- DJ Herz has started 18 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.
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Royals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 83-74 |
| Home | 45-36 |
| Road | 38-38 |
| One-Run Games | 17-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 52-20 |
Nationals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 69-88 |
| Home | 36-40 |
| Road | 33-48 |
| One-Run Games | 14-23 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 49-17 |
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