Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 25
Wednesday’s game between the Milwaukee Brewers (90-67) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (73-84) at PNC Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Brewers taking home the win. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 25.
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Brewers vs. Pirates Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Brewers vs. Pirates Predictions
- Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -155 | +130 | 8 | -105 | -115 |
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Brewers Betting Insights
- Milwaukee has come away with 52 wins in the 88 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- This year, the Brewers have won 22 of 32 games when listed as at least -155 or better on the moneyline.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over in 81 of 157 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Brewers had a 5-1 record in the six games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups, Milwaukee and its opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Pirates Betting Insights
- Pittsburgh has won 39.6% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (36-55).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer, the Pirates have a record of 11-25 (30.6%).
- Pittsburgh has played in 157 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 75 times (75-77-5).
- The Pirates have played as underdogs in eight of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Brewers vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers
Brewers’ Starting Pitcher: Freddy Peralta
- The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.69, a 2.92 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.230 in 31 games this season.
- Freddy Peralta’s team has won 62.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (15-9).
- In games Peralta has started, his team is 19-12.
- In Peralta’s 31 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 17 times.
Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Ortiz
- The 25-year-old has put together a 3.43 ERA and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings in 36 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .221 to opposing hitters.
- The Pirates have a 5-6 record in Ortiz’s 11 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Ortiz’s team has won six of his 14 starts.
- Ortiz’s starts hit the over on the run total three times in 14 games with a set total this season.
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Brewers’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 90-67 |
| Home | 45-33 |
| Road | 45-34 |
| One-Run Games | 28-24 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 62-12 |
Pirates’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 73-84 |
| Home | 38-41 |
| Road | 35-43 |
| One-Run Games | 24-26 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 44-19 |
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