Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 25
Wednesday’s game between the Toronto Blue Jays (73-85) and Boston Red Sox (80-78) squaring off at Rogers Centre has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Blue Jays, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will begin at 7:07 p.m. ET on Sept. 25.
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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 7:07 p.m. ET
- Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
- How to Watch on TV: NESN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Predictions
- Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -142 | +120 | 8 | -110 | -110 |
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Blue Jays Betting Insights
- Toronto has won 44, or 57.1%, of the 77 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This season, the Blue Jays have been victorious 19 times in 31 chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving Toronto have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 78 of 157 chances this season.
- The Blue Jays were the moneyline favorite in six of their past 15 games, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Toronto and its opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Red Sox Betting Insights
- Boston has won 37 of the 77 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (48.1%).
- The Red Sox are 11-18 (winning only 37.9% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
- Boston has played in 156 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 80 times (80-69-7).
- The Red Sox have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and went 6-4 in those contests.
- Boston and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers
Blue Jays’ Starting Pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.91, a 3 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.223 in 30 games this season.
- When Kevin Gausman starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 11-8.
- Gausman’s team is 17-13 when he starts this season.
- In Gausman’s 30 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 20 times.
Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Richard Fitts
- The 24-year-old has a 0.00 ERA and 4 strikeouts per nine innings during three games this season, while giving up a batting average of .224 to opposing hitters.
- The Red Sox were named the moneyline underdog for two Richard Fitts starts this season — they lost both.
- Fitts’ team has dropped all three of his starts this season.
- Fitts’ starts hit the over on the run total one time in three games with a set total this season.
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Blue Jays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 73-85 |
| Home | 38-39 |
| Road | 35-46 |
| One-Run Games | 19-30 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 57-12 |
Red Sox’s 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 80-78 |
| Home | 37-41 |
| Road | 43-37 |
| One-Run Games | 18-12 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 63-12 |
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