Tuesday’s contest that pits the Minnesota Twins (81-75) against the Miami Marlins (57-99) at Target Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Twins, who are a slight favorite in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 7:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 24.

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Twins vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Twins vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Twins vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Twins vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Twins -245 +205 8 -115 -105

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Twins Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has won 63, or 59.4%, of the 106 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Twins have come away with a win nine times in 10 chances when named as a favorite of at least -245 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 79 of 155 opportunities.
  • The Twins had a 4-7 record in the 11 games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Minnesota combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total eight times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has been the moneyline underdog 138 total times this season. It has gone 53-85 in those games.
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +205 or longer, the Marlins have a 5-11 record (winning just 31.2% of their games).
  • Miami has played in 156 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 81 times (81-67-8).
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 15 of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times.

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Twins vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober

  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.84 and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .201 in 29 games this season.
  • Bailey Ober’s team is 12-9 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Ober has started, his team is 15-14.
  • In Ober’s 29 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 12 times.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Ryan Weathers

  • The 24-year-old has put up a 3.94 ERA and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings during 14 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .239 to his opponents.
  • The Marlins are 6-6 in Weathers’ 12 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Weathers’ team has a 6-8 record in his starts this season.
  • Ryan Weathers has had 14 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and five of those outings finished over the total.

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Twins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 81-75
Home 42-33
Road 39-42
One-Run Games 22-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 56-12

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 57-99
Home 30-51
Road 27-48
One-Run Games 23-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 35-17

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