Predictions for Phillies vs. Cubs: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 23
Monday’s game that pits the Philadelphia Phillies (92-64) against the Chicago Cubs (80-76) at Citizens Bank Park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. Game time is at 6:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 23.
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Phillies vs. Cubs Matchup Info
- When: Monday, September 23, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: MARQ
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Cubs Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Cubs 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Phillies vs. Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -192 | +160 | 8 | -110 | -110 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has been chosen as the favorite in 122 games this year, and has walked away with the win 77 times (63.1%) in those games.
- This year, the Phillies have won 29 of 39 games when listed as at least -192 or better on the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 73 of 156 opportunities.
- The Phillies went 7-5 over the 12 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Cubs Betting Insights
- Chicago has a 36-37 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 49.3% of those games).
- The Cubs have a record of 1-2 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +160 or longer (33.3%).
- Chicago has played in 156 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 72 times (72-77-7).
- The Cubs have played as underdogs in five of their past 15 games and went 3-2 in those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Chicago and its opponents are 8-7-0 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Phillies vs. Cubs Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola
- The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.54, a 3.81 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.173 in 31 games this season.
- Aaron Nola’s team has won 70.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (17-7).
- Nola’s team has won 19 of his 31 starts.
- Out of Nola’s 31 starts with a total this season, 15 have hit the over.
Cubs’ Starting Pitcher: Nate Pearson
- Over his 57 games this season, opposing hitters have compiled a batting average of .263 against him. He has a 4.71 ERA and averages 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings.
- Pearson’s team was never the underdog on the moneyline a season ago in games he pitched.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 92-64 |
| Home | 52-26 |
| Road | 40-38 |
| One-Run Games | 23-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 64-12 |
Cubs’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 80-76 |
| Home | 42-36 |
| Road | 38-40 |
| One-Run Games | 22-28 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 60-11 |
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