Tuesday’s game at Truist Park has the Atlanta Braves (85-71) taking on the New York Mets (87-69) at 7:20 p.m. ET (on Sept. 24). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 win for the Braves, so it should be a tight matchup.

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Braves vs. Mets Matchup Info

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Braves vs. Mets Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Braves vs. Mets Betting Lines

Braves vs Mets Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Braves -142 +120 8 -115 -105

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Braves Betting Insights

  • Atlanta has been the favorite in 125 games this season, and has come away with the win 72 times (57.6%) in those contests.
  • This year, the Braves have won 53 of 91 games when listed as at least -142 or better on the moneyline.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 56 of 156 opportunities.
  • The Braves were the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they finished 7-5 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Atlanta combined with its opponents to go over the run total seven times.

Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has won 29 of the 61 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (47.5%).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, the Mets have an 11-7 record (winning 61.1% of their games).
  • New York has had an over/under set by bookmakers 156 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 79 of those games (79-72-5).
  • In five games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Mets had a record of 2-3.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, New York and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.

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Braves vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach

  • The 24-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 3.61, a 5.36 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.103.
  • Spencer Schwellenbach’s team has won 46.2% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-7).
  • Schwellenbach’s team has a 9-10 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Schwellenbach’s 19 starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino

  • The 30-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.79, with 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 30 games this season. Opponents are hitting .239 against him.
  • The Mets have been the moneyline underdog in 11 of Severino’s starts this season, and they went 3-8 in those matchups.
  • Over Severino’s 30 starts, his team is 15-15.
  • Severino’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 17 of 30 contests.

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Braves’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 85-71
Home 42-33
Road 43-38
One-Run Games 17-24
Scoring 5+ Runs 55-15

Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 87-69
Home 46-35
Road 41-34
One-Run Games 27-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 59-18

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