Predictions for Astros vs. Mariners: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 23
Monday’s game at Minute Maid Park has the Houston Astros (85-71) taking on the Seattle Mariners (80-76) at 8:10 p.m. ET (on Sept. 23). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 win for the Astros, so expect a tight matchup.
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Astros vs. Mariners Matchup Info
- When: Monday, September 23, 2024 at 8:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
- How to Watch on TV: SCHN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Astros vs. Mariners Predictions
- Score Prediction: Astros 5, Mariners 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Astros vs. Mariners Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -130 | +110 | 8 | -104 | -125 |
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Astros Betting Insights
- Houston has been the favorite in 113 games this season, and has come away with the win 65 times (57.5%) in those contests.
- The Astros have a mark of 56-35 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -130 or better on the moneyline.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 64 of 156 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Astros were the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they finished 8-4 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Houston and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Mariners Betting Insights
- Seattle has won 20 of the 50 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (40%).
- The Mariners are 11-12 (winning 47.8% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
- Seattle has combined with opponents to go over the total 73 times this season for a 73-73-10 record against the over/under.
- In five games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Mariners have a record of 3-2.
- Seattle and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Astros vs. Mariners Probable Pitchers
Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Hunter Brown
- The 26-year-old has pitched in 30 games this season with a 3.57 ERA and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .245.
- Hunter Brown’s team has a record of 11-11 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Brown’s team has won 14 of his 29 starts.
- Out of Brown’s 29 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.
Mariners’ Starting Pitcher: Bryce Miller
- The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.06, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 30 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .204 batting average against him.
- The Mariners are 7-6 in Miller’s 13 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Miller’s team has a 16-14 record over his 30 starts.
- Bryce Miller has had 30 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 12 of those games.
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Astros’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 85-71 |
| Home | 45-33 |
| Road | 40-38 |
| One-Run Games | 16-27 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 64-10 |
Mariners’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 80-76 |
| Home | 46-32 |
| Road | 34-44 |
| One-Run Games | 26-27 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 54-5 |
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