Predictions for Phillies vs. Mets: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 22
Sunday’s contest between the New York Mets (86-69) and the Philadelphia Phillies (92-63) at Citi Field is expected to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Mets securing the victory. Game time is at 7:15 p.m. ET on Sept. 22.
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Phillies vs. Mets Matchup Info
- When: Sunday, September 22, 2024 at 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: ESPN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Mets Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
- Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
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Phillies vs. Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -148 | +124 | 6.5 | -122 | +102 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has been victorious in 77, or 63.6%, of the 121 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Phillies have been victorious 55 times in 79 chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 73 of 155 opportunities.
- The Phillies went 8-4 across the 12 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over nine times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Mets Betting Insights
- New York has won 46.7% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (28-32).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Mets have a record of 9-5 (64.3%).
- New York has played in 155 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 79 times (79-71-5).
- The Mets have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and went 1-3 in those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, New York and its opponents are 9-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Phillies vs. Mets Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler
- The 34-year-old has an ERA of 2.56, a 4.18 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .954 in 30 games this season.
- Zack Wheeler’s team has been victorious in 67.9% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 19-9.
- Wheeler’s team has won 19 of his 30 starts.
- Out of Wheeler’s 30 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Tylor Megill
- In 14 games this season, the 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.08, with 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .225 against him.
- The Mets have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Megill’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those games.
- Megill’s team has won six of his 13 starts.
- Megill’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in five of 13 contests.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 92-63 |
| Home | 52-26 |
| Road | 40-37 |
| One-Run Games | 23-19 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 64-12 |
Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 86-69 |
| Home | 45-35 |
| Road | 41-34 |
| One-Run Games | 26-16 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 59-18 |
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