Saturday’s game that pits the Boston Red Sox (76-78) against the Minnesota Twins (81-73) at Fenway Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 21.

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Twins vs. Red Sox Matchup Info

• When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: BSN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Twins vs. Red Sox Predictions

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Twins 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Lines

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Twins Betting Insights

• Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 104 games this year, and has walked away with the win 63 times (60.6%) in those games.
• This year, the Twins have won 37 of 54 games when listed as at least -155 or better on the moneyline.
• Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 77 of 153 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Twins played as the moneyline favorite in 10 of their past 15 games, and they finished 5-5 in those matchups.
• In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Minnesota combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.

Red Sox Betting Insights

• Boston has won 33 of the 73 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (45.2%).
• The Red Sox have a 6-10 record (winning just 37.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer.
• In the 152 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Boston, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 77 times (77-68-7).
• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
• In its past 15 games with a total, Boston and its opponents are 5-10-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Twins vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Pablo Lopez

• The 28-year-old has pitched in 30 games this season with a 3.84 ERA and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .246.
• Pablo Lopez’s team has a record of 17-7 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
• Lopez’s team has won 18 of his 30 starts.
• In Lopez’s 30 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 16 times.

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Kutter Crawford

• During 31 games this season, the 28-year-old has amassed a 4.19 ERA and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .220 to opposing hitters.
• The Red Sox are 4-10 in Crawford’s 14 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
• Crawford’s team has a 9-22 record in his starts this season.
• Kutter Crawford has started 30 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 13 of them.

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Twins’ 2024 Performance

Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

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