Saturday’s game between the Cincinnati Reds (75-80) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (72-82) at Great American Ball Park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 6-5, with the Reds coming out on top. First pitch is at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 21.

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Reds vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Reds vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Reds 6, Pirates 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

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Reds vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Reds vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Reds -125 +105 9 -118 -102

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Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has been chosen as the favorite in 65 games this year, and has walked away with the win 34 times (52.3%) in those games.
  • This year, the Reds have won 27 of 48 games when listed as at least -125 or better on the moneyline.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 73 of 154 opportunities.
  • In their past 15 games, the Reds have been named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only once, a game they won.
  • In its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — Cincinnati and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has put together a 35-53 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 39.8% of those games).
  • The Pirates have a 27-41 record (winning just 39.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer.
  • Pittsburgh has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 74 times this season for a 74-75-5 record against the over/under.
  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in five of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Reds vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Rhett Lowder

  • The 22-year-old has an ERA of 1.74 and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .227 in four games this season.
  • Rhett Lowder’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Lowder’s team has a 2-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Lowder have a 2-2-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones

  • In 20 games this season, the 23-year-old has amassed a 3.85 ERA and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .228 to opposing hitters.
  • The Pirates are 3-5 in Jones’ eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • In Jones’ 20 starts, his team is 10-10.
  • Jared Jones has started 20 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 11 of them.

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Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 75-80
Home 38-41
Road 37-39
One-Run Games 15-27
Scoring 5+ Runs 53-10

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 72-82
Home 38-40
Road 34-42
One-Run Games 24-26
Scoring 5+ Runs 44-19

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