Predictions for Reds vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 21
Saturday’s game between the Cincinnati Reds (75-80) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (72-82) at Great American Ball Park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 6-5, with the Reds coming out on top. First pitch is at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 21.
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Reds vs. Pirates Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 1:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Reds vs. Pirates Predictions
- Score Prediction: Reds 6, Pirates 5
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
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Reds vs. Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -125 | +105 | 9 | -118 | -102 |
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Reds Betting Insights
- Cincinnati has been chosen as the favorite in 65 games this year, and has walked away with the win 34 times (52.3%) in those games.
- This year, the Reds have won 27 of 48 games when listed as at least -125 or better on the moneyline.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 73 of 154 opportunities.
- In their past 15 games, the Reds have been named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only once, a game they won.
- In its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — Cincinnati and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
Pirates Betting Insights
- Pittsburgh has put together a 35-53 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 39.8% of those games).
- The Pirates have a 27-41 record (winning just 39.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer.
- Pittsburgh has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 74 times this season for a 74-75-5 record against the over/under.
- The Pirates have played as underdogs in five of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Reds vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers
Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Rhett Lowder
- The 22-year-old has an ERA of 1.74 and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .227 in four games this season.
- Rhett Lowder’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Lowder’s team has a 2-2 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Lowder have a 2-2-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones
- In 20 games this season, the 23-year-old has amassed a 3.85 ERA and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .228 to opposing hitters.
- The Pirates are 3-5 in Jones’ eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- In Jones’ 20 starts, his team is 10-10.
- Jared Jones has started 20 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 11 of them.
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Reds’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 75-80 |
| Home | 38-41 |
| Road | 37-39 |
| One-Run Games | 15-27 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 53-10 |
Pirates’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 72-82 |
| Home | 38-40 |
| Road | 34-42 |
| One-Run Games | 24-26 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 44-19 |
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