Saturday’s game between the New York Mets (85-69) and Philadelphia Phillies (92-62) squaring off at Citi Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Mets, so expect a tight matchup. The game will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 21.

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Mets vs. Phillies Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Phillies Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Mets vs. Phillies Betting Lines

Mets vs Phillies Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -125 +105 7.5 -108 -112

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been victorious in 57, or 61.3%, of the 93 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This year, the Mets have won 43 of 69 games when listed as at least -125 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 78 of 154 chances this season.
  • The Mets played as the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they finished 9-2 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to hit the over nine times.

Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has put together a 14-18 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 43.8% of those games).
  • The Phillies have a record of 7-10 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +105 or longer (41.2%).
  • Philadelphia has combined with opponents to go over the total 72 times this season for a 72-75-7 record against the over/under.
  • The Phillies have been underdogs twice in the past 15 games and lost both times.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mets vs. Phillies Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea

  • The 32-year-old has pitched in 30 games this season with an ERA of 3.26, a 2.9 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.082.
  • Sean Manaea’s team has a record of 15-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Manaea’s team has won 22 of his 30 starts.
  • Games started by Manaea have a 14-15-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suárez

  • The 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.13, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 25 games this season. Opponents are hitting .236 against him.
  • The Phillies have a 4-1 record in Suarez’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Suarez’s team has a 17-8 record in his starts this season.
  • Ranger Suarez has started 25 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 10 of them.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 85-69
Home 44-35
Road 41-34
One-Run Games 26-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 58-18

Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 92-62
Home 52-26
Road 40-36
One-Run Games 23-19
Scoring 5+ Runs 64-12

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