Predictions for Diamondbacks vs. Brewers: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 21
Saturday’s contest between the Milwaukee Brewers (88-66) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (86-68) at American Family Field should be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Brewers taking home the win. Game time is at 7:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 21.
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Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- How to Watch on TV: ARID
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Predictions
- Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Diamondbacks 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -135 | +114 | 8.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- Arizona has won 50, or 62.5%, of the 80 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This season, the Diamondbacks have been victorious 32 times in 46 chances when named as a favorite of at least -135 or better on the moneyline.
- Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 87 of 154 opportunities.
- The Diamondbacks went 7-4 over the 11 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Arizona and its opponents combined to hit the over nine times.
Brewers Betting Insights
- Milwaukee has been the moneyline underdog 67 total times this season. It has gone 37-30 in those games.
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Brewers have gone 14-12 (53.8%).
- Milwaukee has played in 154 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 79 times (79-65-10).
- The Brewers have played as underdogs in eight of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Milwaukee and its opponents are 4-10-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Probable Pitchers
Diamondbacks’ Starting Pitcher: Merrill Kelly
- The 35-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 4.00, a 2.72 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.190.
- When Merrill Kelly starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-3.
- In games Kelly has started, his team is 5-6.
- In games Kelly has started this season, the teams are 7-4-0 at hitting the over.
Brewers’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Civale
- The 29-year-old has put together a 4.48 ERA and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings in 29 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .258 to opposing batters.
- The Brewers have been the underdog on the moneyline in 12 of Civale’s starts this season, and they went 4-8 in those matchups.
- Civale’s team has won 12 of his 29 starts.
- Civale’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 18 of 29 games.
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Diamondbacks’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 86-68 |
| Home | 42-33 |
| Road | 44-35 |
| One-Run Games | 26-19 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 69-17 |
Brewers’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 88-66 |
| Home | 44-32 |
| Road | 44-34 |
| One-Run Games | 27-24 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 60-12 |
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