In Game 1 of the opening round of the WNBA Playoffs, the Minnesota Lynx will face the Phoenix Mercury.

Our computer predictions in this article will help you decide what are the best bets available for Sunday’s game.

Lynx vs. Mercury Predictions

Spread: Lynx (-9.5) to Cover

• The Lynx are the bet in this matchup. They’re favored by 3.8 more points in the model than BetMGM (13.3 to 9.5).
• The Lynx are 25-15-0 ATS this season.
• Minnesota is 2-5 against the spread when favored by 9.5 points or more this season.
• So far this year, the Mercury have put together a 21-19-0 record against the spread.
• Phoenix is 3-1 against the spread when an underdog by 9.5 points or more this season.

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Total: Over 158.5

• The BetMGM point total for this matchup is just 3.7 points lower than the model projection.
• This year, the Lynx games have finished over 158.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, 18 (out of 40) times.
• This year, 28 of Phoenix’s 40 total matchups have gone over 158.5 total points scored.
• The Lynx have gone over in 16 of their 40 games with a set total (40%).
• The teams have hit the over in 20 of the Mercury’s 40 games with a set total.

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Moneyline Winner: Lynx (-549)

• Prediction: Lynx 88, Mercury 74
• Minnesota has gone 20-6 in games as a moneyline favorite (winning 76.9% of those games).

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Where to Watch Lynx vs. Mercury: Live Stream & TV Channel

• When: Sunday, September 22, 2024 at 5:00 PM ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo

Lynx Leaders

• Napheesa Collier leads the Lynx in scoring and rebounding, accumulating 20.4 points and 9.7 rebounds per game.
• Courtney Williams leads Minnesota in assists, averaging 5.5 per game while also scoring 11.1 points per contest.
• Kayla McBride makes more threes per game than any other member of the Lynx, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.7 per contest.
• Collier is Minnesota’s leader in steals, averaging 1.9 steals per game, while Alanna Smith leads them in blocks with 1.5 per contest.

Mercury Leaders

• Kahleah Copper sits at the top of the Mercury scoring leaderboard with 21.1 points per game. She also pulls down 4.5 rebounds and dishes out 2.3 assists per game.
• Monique Billings has a stat line of 5.8 rebounds, 7.4 points and 1.4 assists per game for Phoenix to take the top rebound spot on the team. Natasha Cloud has the top spot for assists with 6.9 per game, adding 11.5 points and 4.1 rebounds per outing.
• Diana Taurasi knocks down 2.4 three-pointers per game, the most on the Mercury.
• Cloud (1.4 steals per game) is the steal leader for Phoenix while Natasha Mack (1.2 blocks per game) is the block leader.

Mercury Injuries

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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