Predictions for Twins vs. Red Sox: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 20
Friday’s contest that pits the Boston Red Sox (76-77) against the Minnesota Twins (80-73) at Fenway Park is expected to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 20.
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Twins vs. Red Sox Matchup Info
- When: Friday, September 20, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: BSN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Twins vs. Red Sox Predictions
- Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Twins 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -118 | -102 | 8.5 | -120 | +100 |
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Twins Betting Insights
- Minnesota has won 62, or 60.2%, of the 103 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This season, the Twins have come away with a win 55 times in 94 chances when named as a favorite of at least -118 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 77 of 152 opportunities.
- The Twins had a 4-6 record over the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Minnesota and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times (all 15 games had set totals).
Red Sox Betting Insights
- Boston has won 33 of the 72 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (45.8%).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -102 or longer, the Red Sox have gone 26-31 (45.6%).
- Boston has combined with opponents to go over the total 77 times this season for a 77-67-7 record against the over/under.
- The Red Sox have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Boston and its opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.
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Twins vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers
Twins’ Starting Pitcher: David Festa
- The 24-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with a 5.07 ERA and 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .239.
- When David Festa starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-4.
- Festa’s team has won four of his 11 starts.
- In Festa’s 11 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.
Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Richard Fitts
- In two games this season, he has put up a 0.00 ERA and averages 3.4 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .211 against him.
- The Red Sox were named the moneyline underdog for one Richard Fitts start this season — they lost.
- His team has lost both of the games he’s appeared in this season.
- Fitts’ two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
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Twins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 80-73 |
| Home | 42-33 |
| Road | 38-40 |
| One-Run Games | 22-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 56-12 |
Red Sox’s 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 76-77 |
| Home | 35-40 |
| Road | 41-37 |
| One-Run Games | 17-12 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 60-12 |
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