Friday’s contest that pits the Boston Red Sox (76-77) against the Minnesota Twins (80-73) at Fenway Park is expected to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 20.

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Twins vs. Red Sox Matchup Info

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Twins vs. Red Sox Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Twins 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Lines

Twins vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Twins -118 -102 8.5 -120 +100

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Twins Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has won 62, or 60.2%, of the 103 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Twins have come away with a win 55 times in 94 chances when named as a favorite of at least -118 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 77 of 152 opportunities.
  • The Twins had a 4-6 record over the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, Minnesota and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times (all 15 games had set totals).

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has won 33 of the 72 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (45.8%).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -102 or longer, the Red Sox have gone 26-31 (45.6%).
  • Boston has combined with opponents to go over the total 77 times this season for a 77-67-7 record against the over/under.
  • The Red Sox have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Boston and its opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.

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Twins vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: David Festa

  • The 24-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with a 5.07 ERA and 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .239.
  • When David Festa starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-4.
  • Festa’s team has won four of his 11 starts.
  • In Festa’s 11 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Richard Fitts

  • In two games this season, he has put up a 0.00 ERA and averages 3.4 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .211 against him.
  • The Red Sox were named the moneyline underdog for one Richard Fitts start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost both of the games he’s appeared in this season.
  • Fitts’ two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

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Twins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 80-73
Home 42-33
Road 38-40
One-Run Games 22-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 56-12

Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 76-77
Home 35-40
Road 41-37
One-Run Games 17-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 60-12

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