Predictions for Reds vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 20
Friday’s contest between the Cincinnati Reds (74-80) and Pittsburgh Pirates (72-81) going head to head at Great American Ball Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Reds, so expect a tight matchup. The game will begin at 6:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 20.
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Reds vs. Pirates Matchup Info
- When: Friday, September 20, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Reds vs. Pirates Predictions
- Score Prediction: Reds 5, Pirates 4
- Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
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Reds vs. Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -122 | +102 | 9 | -105 | -115 |
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Reds Betting Insights
- Cincinnati has been victorious in 33, or 51.6%, of the 64 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This year, the Reds have won 28 of 52 games when listed as at least -122 or better on the moneyline.
- Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 72 of 153 opportunities.
- The Reds have not been favored on the moneyline in their past 15 games.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Cincinnati and its opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
Pirates Betting Insights
- Pittsburgh has compiled a 35-52 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40.2% of those games).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, the Pirates have a 30-42 record (winning 41.7% of their games).
- Pittsburgh has combined with opponents to go over the total 73 times this season for a 73-75-5 record against the over/under.
- The Pirates have played as underdogs in five of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
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Reds vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers
Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Nick MartÃnez
- The 34-year-old has pitched in 40 games this season with a 3.37 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .245.
- When Nick Martinez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-2.
- MartÃnez’s team is 7-7 when he starts this season.
- In games Martinez has started this season, the teams are 8-5-1 at hitting the over.
Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Mitch Keller
- The 28-year-old has put up a 3.87 ERA and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings over 29 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .255 to opposing batters.
- The Pirates have a 10-5 record in Keller’s 15 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Keller’s team is 17-12 in his 29 starts.
- Keller’s starts hit the over on the run total 15 times in 29 games with a set total this season.
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Reds’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 74-80 |
| Home | 37-41 |
| Road | 37-39 |
| One-Run Games | 15-27 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 52-10 |
Pirates’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 72-81 |
| Home | 38-40 |
| Road | 34-41 |
| One-Run Games | 24-26 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 44-19 |
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