Friday’s contest between the Cincinnati Reds (74-80) and Pittsburgh Pirates (72-81) going head to head at Great American Ball Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Reds, so expect a tight matchup. The game will begin at 6:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 20.

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Reds vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Reds vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Reds 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Reds vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Reds vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Reds -122 +102 9 -105 -115

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Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has been victorious in 33, or 51.6%, of the 64 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This year, the Reds have won 28 of 52 games when listed as at least -122 or better on the moneyline.
  • Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 72 of 153 opportunities.
  • The Reds have not been favored on the moneyline in their past 15 games.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Cincinnati and its opponents combined to hit the over seven times.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has compiled a 35-52 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40.2% of those games).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, the Pirates have a 30-42 record (winning 41.7% of their games).
  • Pittsburgh has combined with opponents to go over the total 73 times this season for a 73-75-5 record against the over/under.
  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in five of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.

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Reds vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Nick Martínez

  • The 34-year-old has pitched in 40 games this season with a 3.37 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .245.
  • When Nick Martinez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-2.
  • Martínez’s team is 7-7 when he starts this season.
  • In games Martinez has started this season, the teams are 8-5-1 at hitting the over.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Mitch Keller

  • The 28-year-old has put up a 3.87 ERA and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings over 29 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .255 to opposing batters.
  • The Pirates have a 10-5 record in Keller’s 15 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Keller’s team is 17-12 in his 29 starts.
  • Keller’s starts hit the over on the run total 15 times in 29 games with a set total this season.

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Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 74-80
Home 37-41
Road 37-39
One-Run Games 15-27
Scoring 5+ Runs 52-10

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 72-81
Home 38-40
Road 34-41
One-Run Games 24-26
Scoring 5+ Runs 44-19

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