Predictions for Cubs vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 19
Thursday’s contest between the Chicago Cubs (77-75) and Washington Nationals (68-84) squaring off at Wrigley Field has a projected final score of 5-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Cubs, who is listed as a small favorite by our model. The game will start at 7:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 19.
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Cubs vs. Nationals Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, September 19, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
- How to Watch on TV: MASN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Cubs vs. Nationals Predictions
- Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Nationals 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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Cubs vs. Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -170 | +142 | 8.5 | -120 | +100 |
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Cubs Betting Insights
- Chicago has come away with 39 wins in the 73 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- The Cubs have a win-loss record of 16-3 when favored by -170 or better by sportsbooks this year.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 71 of 152 opportunities.
- The Cubs were favored on the moneyline in eight of their past 15 games, and they finished 3-5 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — Chicago and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total nine times.
Nationals Betting Insights
- Washington has gone 53-72 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 42.4% of those games).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +142 or longer, the Nationals have an 18-30 record (winning only 37.5% of their games).
- In the 152 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Washington, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 72 times (72-72-8).
- The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
- Washington and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Cubs vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers
Cubs’ Starting Pitcher: Javier Assad
- The 27-year-old has pitched in 27 games this season with an ERA of 3.27, a 1.97 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.358.
- Javier Assad’s team is 3-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Assad’s team has a 14-13 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Assad’s 27 starts with a total this season, 11 have hit the over.
Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin
- Over 30 games this season, the 35-year-old has a 5.45 ERA and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .297 to opposing batters.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 28 of Corbin’s starts this season, and they went 9-19 in those games.
- Corbin’s team is 11-19 over his 30 starts.
- Patrick Corbin has started 30 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 13 of them.
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Cubs’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 77-75 |
| Home | 39-35 |
| Road | 38-40 |
| One-Run Games | 21-28 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 58-11 |
Nationals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 68-84 |
| Home | 36-39 |
| Road | 32-45 |
| One-Run Games | 14-21 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 48-16 |
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