Predictions for Braves vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 20
Friday’s game at LoanDepot park has the Atlanta Braves (83-70) taking on the Miami Marlins (56-97) at 7:10 p.m. ET (on Sept. 20). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 victory for the Braves, so expect a tight matchup.
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Braves vs. Marlins Matchup Info
- When: Friday, September 20, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Braves vs. Marlins Predictions
- Score Prediction: Braves 5, Marlins 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Braves vs. Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -205 | +170 | 8.5 | -118 | -102 |
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Braves Betting Insights
- Atlanta has come away with 70 wins in the 122 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- The Braves have a win-loss record of 27-10 when favored by -205 or better by oddsmakers this year.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 56 of 153 opportunities.
- The Braves were the moneyline favorite for 12 of their past 15 games, and they went 7-5 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Atlanta combined with its opponents to go over the run total seven times.
Marlins Betting Insights
- Miami has gone 52-83 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 38.5% of those games).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +170 or longer, the Marlins have an 11-21 record (winning only 34.4% of their games).
- Miami has combined with opponents to go over the total 81 times this season for an 81-65-7 record against the over/under.
- The Marlins have played as underdogs in 15 of their past 15 games and went 5-10 in those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents are 7-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Braves vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers
Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Charlie Morton
- The 40-year-old has pitched in 28 games this season with an ERA of 4.01, a 2.73 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.297.
- When Charlie Morton starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 12-9.
- In games Morton has started, his team is 13-15.
- In Morton’s 28 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 11 times.
Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Valente Bellozo
- In 11 games this season, the 24-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.70, with 6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .246 against him.
- The Marlins have a 5-6 record in Bellozo’s 11 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Over Bellozo’s 11 starts, his team is 5-6.
- Bellozo’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of 11 contests.
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Braves’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 83-70 |
| Home | 42-33 |
| Road | 41-37 |
| One-Run Games | 16-23 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 53-15 |
Marlins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 56-97 |
| Home | 29-49 |
| Road | 27-48 |
| One-Run Games | 22-19 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 35-17 |
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