Friday’s game at LoanDepot park has the Atlanta Braves (83-70) taking on the Miami Marlins (56-97) at 7:10 p.m. ET (on Sept. 20). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 victory for the Braves, so expect a tight matchup.

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Braves vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Braves vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Braves vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Braves vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Braves -205 +170 8.5 -118 -102

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Braves Betting Insights

  • Atlanta has come away with 70 wins in the 122 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Braves have a win-loss record of 27-10 when favored by -205 or better by oddsmakers this year.
  • Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 56 of 153 opportunities.
  • The Braves were the moneyline favorite for 12 of their past 15 games, and they went 7-5 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Atlanta combined with its opponents to go over the run total seven times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has gone 52-83 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 38.5% of those games).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +170 or longer, the Marlins have an 11-21 record (winning only 34.4% of their games).
  • Miami has combined with opponents to go over the total 81 times this season for an 81-65-7 record against the over/under.
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 15 of their past 15 games and went 5-10 in those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents are 7-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Braves vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Charlie Morton

  • The 40-year-old has pitched in 28 games this season with an ERA of 4.01, a 2.73 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.297.
  • When Charlie Morton starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 12-9.
  • In games Morton has started, his team is 13-15.
  • In Morton’s 28 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 11 times.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Valente Bellozo

  • In 11 games this season, the 24-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.70, with 6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .246 against him.
  • The Marlins have a 5-6 record in Bellozo’s 11 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Over Bellozo’s 11 starts, his team is 5-6.
  • Bellozo’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of 11 contests.

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Braves’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 83-70
Home 42-33
Road 41-37
One-Run Games 16-23
Scoring 5+ Runs 53-15

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 56-97
Home 29-49
Road 27-48
One-Run Games 22-19
Scoring 5+ Runs 35-17

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