Predictions for Yankees vs. Mariners: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 18
Wednesday’s game features the Seattle Mariners (77-74) and the New York Yankees (88-63) facing off at T-Mobile Park in what should be a tight matchup, with a projected 5-4 win for the Mariners according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 18.
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Yankees vs. Mariners Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 18, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
- How to Watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Yankees vs. Mariners Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Yankees 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Yankees vs. Mariners Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -122 | +102 | 7.5 | -105 | -115 |
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Yankees Betting Insights
- New York has been chosen as the favorite in 121 games this year, and has walked away with the win 68 times (56.2%) in those games.
- This season, the Yankees have come away with a win 61 times in 109 chances when named as a favorite of at least -122 or better on the moneyline.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 80 of 150 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite in each of their past 15 games, and they finished 9-6 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
Mariners Betting Insights
- Seattle is 19-29 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 39.6% of those games).
- The Mariners have a 15-15 record (winning 50% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +102 or longer.
- Seattle has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 151 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 70 of those games (70-71-10).
- In three games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Mariners had a record of 2-1.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Seattle and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times.
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Yankees vs. Mariners Probable Pitchers
Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Nestor Cortes Jr.
- The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.90 and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .247 in 30 games this season.
- When Nestor Cortes Jr. starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 10-15.
- In games Cortes has started, his team is 12-17.
- Games Cortes has started this season hit the over 14 times in 29 chances.
Mariners’ Starting Pitcher: Bryce Miller
- The 26-year-old has a 3.12 ERA and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings over 29 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .208 to his opponents.
- The Mariners have been the moneyline underdog in 12 of Miller’s starts this season, and they went 7-5 in those matchups.
- Miller’s team is 16-13 over his 29 starts.
- Miller’s starts went over the run total 12 times in 29 games with a set total this season.
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Yankees’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 88-63 |
| Home | 42-33 |
| Road | 46-30 |
| One-Run Games | 18-17 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 65-12 |
Mariners’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 77-74 |
| Home | 45-31 |
| Road | 32-43 |
| One-Run Games | 25-25 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 52-4 |
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