Predictions for Padres vs. Astros: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 18
Wednesday’s contest features the San Diego Padres (86-66) and the Houston Astros (82-69) matching up at PETCO Park in what is expected to be a competitive matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Padres according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 6:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 18.
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Padres vs. Astros Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 18, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to Watch on TV: SCHN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Padres vs. Astros Predictions
- Score Prediction: Padres 5, Astros 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Padres vs. Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -122 | +102 | 7.5 | +102 | -122 |
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Padres Betting Insights
- San Diego has won 54, or 56.8%, of the 95 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This year, the Padres have won 43 of 77 games when listed as at least -122 or better on the moneyline.
- San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 80 of 152 opportunities.
- The Padres had an 8-5 record in the 13 games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — San Diego and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
Astros Betting Insights
- Houston has gone 19-21 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 47.5% of those games).
- The Astros are 10-10 (winning 50% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +102 or longer.
- Houston has played in 151 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 61 times (61-84-6).
- In the past 15 games, the Astros have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Houston and its opponents are 8-7-0 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Padres vs. Astros Probable Pitchers
Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Dylan Cease
- The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.58 and 11 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .204 in 31 games this season.
- When Dylan Cease starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 17-11.
- In games Cease has started, his team is 19-12.
- Games Cease has started this season hit the over 16 times in 31 chances.
Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Framber Valdez
- The 30-year-old has put together a 2.91 ERA and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings over 26 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .217 to his opponents.
- The Astros have been the moneyline underdog in five of Valdez’s starts this season, and they went 3-2 in those games.
- Valdez’s team has an 18-8 record over his 26 starts.
- Valdez’s starts went over the run total eight times in 26 games with a set total this season.
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Padres’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 86-66 |
| Home | 41-36 |
| Road | 45-30 |
| One-Run Games | 21-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 63-8 |
Astros’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 82-69 |
| Home | 42-32 |
| Road | 40-37 |
| One-Run Games | 16-26 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 62-9 |
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