Thursday’s game that pits the New York Mets (84-68) against the Philadelphia Phillies (91-61) at Citi Field has a good chance to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Mets. Game time is at 7:15 p.m. ET on Sept. 19.

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Mets vs. Phillies Matchup Info

• When: Thursday, September 19, 2024 at 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: FOX
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Mets vs. Phillies Predictions

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Phillies 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Mets vs. Phillies Betting Lines

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Mets Betting Insights

• New York has won 56, or 60.9%, of the 92 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
• This season, the Mets have come away with a win 37 times in 53 chances when named as a favorite of at least -135 or shorter on the moneyline.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 76 of 152 opportunities.
• The Mets had a 10-2 record across the 12 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
• In its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Phillies Betting Insights

• Philadelphia has put together a 14-17 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.2% of those games).
• The Phillies have a 5-4 record (winning 55.6% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
• Philadelphia has combined with opponents to go over the total 70 times this season for a 70-75-7 record against the over/under.
• In the past 15 games, the Phillies have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
• When it comes to hitting the over, Philadelphia and its opponents are 7-7-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mets vs. Phillies Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino

• The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.77 and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .240 in 29 games this season.
• Luis Severino’s team has won 61.1% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (11-7).
• Severino’s team is 14-15 when he starts this season.
• In games Severino has started this season, the teams are 16-13-0 at hitting the over.

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Taijuan Walker

• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 6.29, with 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 17 games this season. Opponents are hitting .309 against him.
• The Phillies have a 1-4 record in Walker’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Walker’s team is 4-10 over his 14 starts.
• Walker’s starts went over the run total eight times in 14 games with a set total this season.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Phillies’ 2024 Performance

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