Predictions for Rays vs. Red Sox: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 18
Wednesday’s contest between the Tampa Bay Rays (74-77) and the Boston Red Sox (75-76) at Tropicana Field is expected to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Rays securing the victory. Game time is at 6:50 p.m. ET on Sept. 18.
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Rays vs. Red Sox Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 18, 2024 at 6:50 p.m. ET
- Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: NESN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Rays vs. Red Sox Predictions
- Score Prediction: Rays 5, Red Sox 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -115 | -105 | 7.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Rays Betting Insights
- Tampa Bay has been victorious in 36, or 56.2%, of the 64 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This year, the Rays have won 31 of 58 games when listed as at least -115 or better on the moneyline.
- Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 66 of 151 opportunities.
- In their past 15 games, the Rays were named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just one time, a game they won.
- In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Tampa Bay combined with its opponents to go over the run total five times.
Red Sox Betting Insights
- Boston has won 32 of the 71 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (45.1%).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -105 or longer, the Red Sox have a record of 27-31 (46.6%).
- Boston has played in 149 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 77 times (77-65-7).
- The Red Sox have played as underdogs in eight of their past 15 games and went 1-7 in those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Boston and its opponents are 6-9-0 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Rays vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers
Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Ryan Pepiot
- The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.76, a 2.83 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.174 in 23 games this season.
- Ryan Pepiot’s team has been victorious in 61.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-5.
- In games Pepiot has started, his team is 13-10.
- Games started by Pepiot have a 9-10-4 record at hitting the over this season.
Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Tanner Houck
- The 28-year-old has put together a 3.24 ERA and 8 strikeouts per nine innings during 28 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .235 to opposing hitters.
- The Red Sox have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Houck’s starts this season, and they went 2-6 in those matchups.
- Houck’s team has won 14 of his 28 starts.
- Tanner Houck has started 28 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 16 of them.
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Rays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 74-77 |
| Home | 38-38 |
| Road | 36-39 |
| One-Run Games | 26-19 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 44-8 |
Red Sox’s 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 75-76 |
| Home | 35-40 |
| Road | 40-36 |
| One-Run Games | 16-12 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 60-12 |
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