Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 18
Wednesday’s contest between the New York Mets (83-68) and the Washington Nationals (68-83) at Citi Field has a projected final score of 5-3 based on our computer prediction, with the Mets securing the victory. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 18.
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Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 18, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: MASN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 3
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -170 | +142 | 7.5 | +102 | -122 |
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Mets Betting Insights
- New York has been victorious in 55, or 60.4%, of the 91 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Mets have come away with a win 13 times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -170 or shorter on the moneyline.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 75 of 151 opportunities.
- The Mets went 10-2 across the 12 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), New York combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total seven times.
Nationals Betting Insights
- Washington is 53-71 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 42.7% of those games).
- The Nationals have gone 18-29 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +142 or longer (38.3%).
- Washington has played in 151 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 71 times (71-72-8).
- In 10 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Nationals had a record of 4-6.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Washington and its opponents are 6-7-2 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: José Quintana
- The 35-year-old has pitched to a 3.91 ERA this season with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.3 walks per nine across 29 games.
- Jose Quintana’s team is 8-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Quintana’s team has a 15-14 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Quintana have a 12-16-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: DJ Herz
- The 23-year-old has a 3.70 ERA and 11 strikeouts per nine innings in 17 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .219 to his opponents.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 12 of Herz’s starts this season, and they went 4-8 in those games.
- In Herz’s 17 starts, his team is 7-10.
- DJ Herz has had 17 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in six of those games.
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Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 83-68 |
| Home | 42-34 |
| Road | 41-34 |
| One-Run Games | 26-16 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 56-18 |
Nationals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 68-83 |
| Home | 36-39 |
| Road | 32-44 |
| One-Run Games | 14-21 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 48-16 |
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