Wednesday’s contest between the New York Mets (83-68) and the Washington Nationals (68-83) at Citi Field has a projected final score of 5-3 based on our computer prediction, with the Mets securing the victory. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 18.

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Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 3
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines

Mets vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -170 +142 7.5 +102 -122

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been victorious in 55, or 60.4%, of the 91 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Mets have come away with a win 13 times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -170 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 75 of 151 opportunities.
  • The Mets went 10-2 across the 12 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), New York combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total seven times.

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington is 53-71 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 42.7% of those games).
  • The Nationals have gone 18-29 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +142 or longer (38.3%).
  • Washington has played in 151 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 71 times (71-72-8).
  • In 10 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Nationals had a record of 4-6.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Washington and its opponents are 6-7-2 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: José Quintana

  • The 35-year-old has pitched to a 3.91 ERA this season with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.3 walks per nine across 29 games.
  • Jose Quintana’s team is 8-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Quintana’s team has a 15-14 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Quintana have a 12-16-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: DJ Herz

  • The 23-year-old has a 3.70 ERA and 11 strikeouts per nine innings in 17 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .219 to his opponents.
  • The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 12 of Herz’s starts this season, and they went 4-8 in those games.
  • In Herz’s 17 starts, his team is 7-10.
  • DJ Herz has had 17 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in six of those games.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 83-68
Home 42-34
Road 41-34
One-Run Games 26-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 56-18

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 68-83
Home 36-39
Road 32-44
One-Run Games 14-21
Scoring 5+ Runs 48-16

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