Wednesday’s contest at American Family Field has the Milwaukee Brewers (87-64) going head to head against the Philadelphia Phillies (91-60) at 7:40 p.m. ET (on Sept. 18). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 victory for the Brewers, so expect a tight matchup.

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Brewers vs. Phillies Matchup Info

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Brewers vs. Phillies Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Brewers vs. Phillies Betting Lines

Brewers vs Phillies Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Brewers -125 +105 7.5 -112 -108

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Brewers Betting Insights

  • Milwaukee has won 49, or 57.6%, of the 85 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Brewers have come away with a win 38 times in 61 chances when named as a favorite of at least -125 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over in 78 of 151 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Brewers went 4-5 across the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Milwaukee and its opponents combined to go over the run total five times.

Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has a 14-16 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 46.7% of those games).
  • The Phillies are 7-9 (winning 43.8% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer.
  • Philadelphia has combined with opponents to go over the total 70 times this season for a 70-74-7 record against the over/under.
  • In the past 15 games, the Phillies have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Philadelphia and its opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.

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Brewers vs. Phillies Probable Pitchers

Brewers’ Starting Pitcher: Freddy Peralta

  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.75, a 2.88 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.243 in 30 games this season.
  • Freddy Peralta’s team has won 60.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (14-9).
  • In games Peralta has started, his team is 18-12.
  • In Peralta’s 30 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 17 times.

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola

  • In 30 games this season, the 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.62, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .245 against him.
  • The Phillies have a 1-4 record in Nola’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Nola’s team has a 19-11 record in his starts this season.
  • Aaron Nola has had 30 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 15 of those outings hit the over.

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Brewers’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 87-64
Home 43-30
Road 44-34
One-Run Games 26-24
Scoring 5+ Runs 60-12

Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 91-60
Home 52-26
Road 39-34
One-Run Games 23-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 63-11

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