Predictions for Royals vs. Tigers: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 16
Monday’s contest that pits the Kansas City Royals (82-68) versus the Detroit Tigers (77-73) at Kauffman Stadium should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 4-3 in favor of the Royals. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 16.
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Royals vs. Tigers Matchup Info
- When: Monday, September 16, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
- How to Watch on TV: BSDET
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Royals vs. Tigers Predictions
- Score Prediction: Royals 4, Tigers 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
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Royals vs. Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | -148 | +124 | 8 | -112 | -108 |
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Royals Betting Insights
- Kansas City has come away with 46 wins in the 71 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- The Royals have a mark of 23-8 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -148 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving Kansas City have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 66 of 150 chances this season.
- The Royals were the moneyline favorite in five of their past 15 games, and they finished 4-1 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Kansas City and its opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
Tigers Betting Insights
- Detroit has a 42-47 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 47.2% of those games).
- The Tigers have a record of 9-23 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer (28.1%).
- Detroit has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 148 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 75 of those games (75-68-5).
- The Tigers have played as underdogs in eight of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Detroit and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
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Royals vs. Tigers Probable Pitchers
Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Seth Lugo
- The 34-year-old has pitched in 30 games this season with a 2.94 ERA and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .229.
- Seth Lugo’s team has been victorious in 58.8% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 10-7.
- Lugo’s team has a 17-13 record in his starts this season.
- In games Lugo has started this season, the teams are 10-19-1 at hitting the over.
Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Casey Mize
- In 19 games this season, the 27-year-old has a 4.47 ERA and 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .286 to opposing batters.
- The Tigers have an 8-6 record in Mize’s 14 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Mize’s team has won 11 of his 19 starts.
- Casey Mize has had 19 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 11 of those matchups hit the over.
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Royals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 82-68 |
| Home | 45-30 |
| Road | 37-38 |
| One-Run Games | 16-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 52-19 |
Tigers’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 77-73 |
| Home | 39-36 |
| Road | 38-37 |
| One-Run Games | 28-24 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 50-9 |
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