Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 16
Monday’s game features the New York Mets (81-68) and the Washington Nationals (68-81) squaring off at Citi Field (on Sept. 16) at 7:10 p.m. ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 5-3 win for the Mets.
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Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info
- When: Monday, September 16, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 3
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -192 | +160 | 7.5 | -108 | -112 |
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Mets Betting Insights
- New York has won 53, or 59.6%, of the 89 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This season, the Mets have come away with a win nine times in 14 chances when named as a favorite of at least -192 or better on the moneyline.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 74 of 149 opportunities.
- The Mets were the moneyline favorite for 12 of their past 15 games, and they went 10-2 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 outings, New York and its opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Nationals Betting Insights
- Washington is 53-69 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 43.4% of those games).
- The Nationals have a record of 14-15 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +160 or longer (48.3%).
- Washington has played in 149 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 70 times (70-71-8).
- The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Washington and its opponents are 6-7-2 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea
- The 32-year-old has pitched in 29 games this season with an ERA of 3.35, a 2.85 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.098.
- Sean Manaea’s team has won 70% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (14-6).
- Manaea’s team has a 21-8 record in his starts this season.
- Games Manaea has started this season hit the over 14 times in 29 chances.
Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Jake Irvin
- In 30 games this season, the 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.19, with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .245 against him.
- The Nationals are 11-16 in Irvin’s 27 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Irvin’s team has put together a 13-17 record in his 30 starts.
- Irvin’s starts hit the over on the run total 16 times in 30 games with a set total this season.
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Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 81-68 |
| Home | 40-34 |
| Road | 41-34 |
| One-Run Games | 25-16 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 55-18 |
Nationals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 68-81 |
| Home | 36-39 |
| Road | 32-42 |
| One-Run Games | 14-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 48-16 |
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