Predictions for Padres vs. Astros: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 16
Monday’s game at PETCO Park has the San Diego Padres (85-65) taking on the Houston Astros (81-68) at 9:40 p.m. ET (on Sept. 16). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 victory for the Padres, so expect a tight matchup.
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Padres vs. Astros Matchup Info
- When: Monday, September 16, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to Watch on TV: SDPA
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Padres vs. Astros Predictions
- Score Prediction: Padres 5, Astros 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Padres vs. Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -125 | +105 | 7.5 | -115 | -105 |
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Padres Betting Insights
- San Diego has been the favorite in 93 games this season, and has come away with the win 53 times (57%) in those contests.
- The Padres have a win-loss record of 41-31 when favored by -125 or better by bookmakers this year.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over in 80 of 150 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Padres were the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they finished 7-4 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), San Diego combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total seven times.
Astros Betting Insights
- Houston has won 18 of the 38 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (47.4%).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +105 or longer, the Astros have a 9-8 record (winning 52.9% of their games).
- Houston has had an over/under set by bookmakers 149 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 61 of those games (61-82-6).
- The Astros are not favored for the first time in quite a while, as they have not been an underdog in their past 15 games.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Houston and its opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
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Padres vs. Astros Probable Pitchers
Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Yu Darvish
- The 38-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with a 3.52 ERA and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .233.
- Yu Darvish’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-2).
- Darvish’s team is 9-4 when he starts this season.
- In Darvish’s 13 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 10 times.
Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti
- In 26 games this season, the 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.72, with 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .249 against him.
- The Astros have a 3-5 record in Arrighetti’s eight starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Arrighetti’s team is 10-16 in his 26 starts.
- Arrighetti’s starts hit the over on the run total 10 times in 26 games with a set total this season.
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Padres’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 85-65 |
| Home | 40-35 |
| Road | 45-30 |
| One-Run Games | 21-17 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 63-8 |
Astros’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 81-68 |
| Home | 42-32 |
| Road | 39-36 |
| One-Run Games | 15-26 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 62-9 |
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