Saturday’s contest at Target Field has the Minnesota Twins (78-69) matching up with the Cincinnati Reds (72-77) at 7:10 p.m. ET (on Sept. 14). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 win for the Twins, so it should be a competitive matchup.

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Twins vs. Reds Matchup Info

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Twins vs. Reds Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Twins vs. Reds Betting Lines

Twins vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Twins -245 +200 8.5 -115 -105

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Twins Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 100 games this year, and has walked away with the win 61 times (61%) in those games.
  • This season, the Twins have come away with a win nine times in 10 chances when named as a favorite of at least -245 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 74 of 146 opportunities.
  • The Twins were the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they went 6-5 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Minnesota and its opponents combined to go over the run total six times.

Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has won 38 of the 81 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (46.9%).
  • The Reds have played as a moneyline underdog of +200 or longer in only one game this season, which they won.
  • Cincinnati has played in 148 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 68 times (68-72-8).
  • The Reds have played as underdogs in 14 of their past 15 games and went 8-6 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Cincinnati and its opponents are 5-9-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Twins vs. Reds Probable Pitchers

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson

  • The 23-year-old has an ERA of 3.96, a 2.47 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.216 in 25 games this season.
  • When Simeon Woods Richardson starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 9-3.
  • Richardson’s team has a 16-9 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Richardson’s 24 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Nick Martínez

  • During 39 games this season, the 34-year-old has amassed a 3.46 ERA and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .249 to his opponents.
  • The Reds have a 2-5 record in Martínez’s seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Martínez’s team has a 6-7 record in his starts this season.
  • Martínez’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in seven of 13 contests.

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Twins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 78-69
Home 41-32
Road 37-37
One-Run Games 22-17
Scoring 5+ Runs 55-12

Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 72-77
Home 36-39
Road 36-38
One-Run Games 14-27
Scoring 5+ Runs 50-10

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