Predictions for Nationals vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 14
Saturday’s contest that pits the Washington Nationals (66-81) against the Miami Marlins (55-93) at Nationals Park is expected to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Nationals. Game time is at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sept. 14.
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Nationals vs. Marlins Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 4:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Nationals vs. Marlins Predictions
- Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Marlins 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Nationals vs. Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | -148 | +124 | 8.5 | -120 | +100 |
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Nationals Betting Insights
- Washington has won 13, or 54.2%, of the 24 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This year, the Nationals have won three of seven games when listed as at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over in 70 of 147 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Nationals went 1-2 over the three games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Washington and its opponents combined to go over the total six times.
Marlins Betting Insights
- Miami has won 39.2% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (51-79).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Marlins have a 28-52 record (winning just 35% of their games).
- In the 148 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Miami, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 78 times (78-63-7).
- The Marlins have played as underdogs in 14 of their past 15 games and went 7-7 in those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.
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Nationals vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers
Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin
- The 35-year-old has pitched to a 5.60 ERA this season with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.9 walks per nine across 29 games.
- Patrick Corbin’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Corbin’s team has a 10-19 record in his starts this season.
- In games Corbin has started this season, the teams are 13-14-2 at hitting the over.
Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Valente Bellozo
- The 24-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.57, with 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 10 games this season. Opponents are hitting .243 against him.
- The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog in 10 of Bellozo’s starts this season, and they went 5-5 in those games.
- Bellozo’s team has a 5-5 record in his starts this season.
- Valente Bellozo has started 10 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.
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Nationals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 66-81 |
| Home | 34-39 |
| Road | 32-42 |
| One-Run Games | 13-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 48-16 |
Marlins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 55-93 |
| Home | 28-47 |
| Road | 27-46 |
| One-Run Games | 22-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 34-17 |
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