Saturday’s contest that pits the Washington Nationals (66-81) against the Miami Marlins (55-93) at Nationals Park is expected to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Nationals. Game time is at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sept. 14.

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Nationals vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Nationals vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Marlins 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Nationals vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Nationals vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Nationals -148 +124 8.5 -120 +100

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Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has won 13, or 54.2%, of the 24 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This year, the Nationals have won three of seven games when listed as at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
  • Washington and its opponents have gone over in 70 of 147 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Nationals went 1-2 over the three games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Washington and its opponents combined to go over the total six times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has won 39.2% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (51-79).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Marlins have a 28-52 record (winning just 35% of their games).
  • In the 148 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Miami, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 78 times (78-63-7).
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 14 of their past 15 games and went 7-7 in those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.

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Nationals vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin

  • The 35-year-old has pitched to a 5.60 ERA this season with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.9 walks per nine across 29 games.
  • Patrick Corbin’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Corbin’s team has a 10-19 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Corbin has started this season, the teams are 13-14-2 at hitting the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Valente Bellozo

  • The 24-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.57, with 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 10 games this season. Opponents are hitting .243 against him.
  • The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog in 10 of Bellozo’s starts this season, and they went 5-5 in those games.
  • Bellozo’s team has a 5-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Valente Bellozo has started 10 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.

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Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 66-81
Home 34-39
Road 32-42
One-Run Games 13-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 48-16

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 55-93
Home 28-47
Road 27-46
One-Run Games 22-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 34-17

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