Predictions for Mets vs. Phillies: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 14
Saturday’s game that pits the Philadelphia Phillies (88-59) versus the New York Mets (81-66) at Citizens Bank Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. First pitch is at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sept. 14.
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Mets vs. Phillies Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 4:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: SNY
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mets vs. Phillies Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
- Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
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Mets vs. Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -112 | -108 | 9 | +100 | -120 |
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Mets Betting Insights
- New York has been victorious in 53, or 59.6%, of the 89 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This year, the Mets have won 53 of 89 games when listed as at least -112 or better on the moneyline.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 73 of 147 opportunities.
- The Mets had a 10-2 record over the 12 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to hit the over six times.
Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has been the underdog on the moneyline 30 total times this season. It has gone 14-16 in those games.
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -108 or longer, the Phillies have a 12-15 record (winning 44.4% of their games).
- In the 147 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Philadelphia, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 69 times (69-72-6).
- In the past 15 games, the Phillies have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Mets vs. Phillies Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino
- The 30-year-old has pitched in 28 games this season with a 3.74 ERA and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .243.
- When Luis Severino starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 11-7.
- Severino’s team has won 14 of his 28 starts.
- Games Severino has started this season hit the over 15 times in 28 chances.
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Kolby Allard
- Allard’s team was never the underdog on the moneyline a season ago in games he pitched.
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Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 81-66 |
| Home | 40-34 |
| Road | 41-32 |
| One-Run Games | 25-15 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 55-18 |
Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 88-59 |
| Home | 50-26 |
| Road | 38-33 |
| One-Run Games | 22-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 61-11 |
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