Saturday’s game that pits the Philadelphia Phillies (88-59) versus the New York Mets (81-66) at Citizens Bank Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. First pitch is at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sept. 14.

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Mets vs. Phillies Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Phillies Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Mets vs. Phillies Betting Lines

Mets vs Phillies Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -112 -108 9 +100 -120

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been victorious in 53, or 59.6%, of the 89 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This year, the Mets have won 53 of 89 games when listed as at least -112 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 73 of 147 opportunities.
  • The Mets had a 10-2 record over the 12 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to hit the over six times.

Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has been the underdog on the moneyline 30 total times this season. It has gone 14-16 in those games.
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -108 or longer, the Phillies have a 12-15 record (winning 44.4% of their games).
  • In the 147 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Philadelphia, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 69 times (69-72-6).
  • In the past 15 games, the Phillies have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mets vs. Phillies Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino

  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 28 games this season with a 3.74 ERA and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .243.
  • When Luis Severino starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 11-7.
  • Severino’s team has won 14 of his 28 starts.
  • Games Severino has started this season hit the over 15 times in 28 chances.

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Kolby Allard

  • Allard’s team was never the underdog on the moneyline a season ago in games he pitched.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 81-66
Home 40-34
Road 41-32
One-Run Games 25-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 55-18

Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 88-59
Home 50-26
Road 38-33
One-Run Games 22-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 61-11

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