Friday’s game that pits the Minnesota Twins (78-68) versus the Cincinnati Reds (71-77) at Target Field should be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Twins. Game time is at 8:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 13.

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Twins vs. Reds Matchup Info

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Twins vs. Reds Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Twins vs. Reds Betting Lines

Twins vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Twins -218 +180 8.5 -108 -112

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Twins Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has been the favorite in 99 games this season, and has come away with the win 61 times (61.6%) in those contests.
  • The Twins are not lost in 15 games this year when favored by -218 or better on the moneyline.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 73 of 145 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Twins were favored on the moneyline for 10 of their past 15 games, and they went 6-4 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Minnesota combined with its opponents to go over the total six times.

Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has a 37-43 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 46.2% of those games).
  • The Reds have played as a moneyline underdog of +180 or longer in just one game this season, which they won.
  • Cincinnati has combined with opponents to go over the total 67 times this season for a 67-72-8 record against the over/under.
  • In 13 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Reds had a record of 7-6.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Cincinnati and its opponents have failed to hit the over 10 times.

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Twins vs. Reds Probable Pitchers

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober

  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.77 and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .200 in 27 games this season.
  • Bailey Ober’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 12-8.
  • In games Ober has started, his team is 15-12.
  • Out of Ober’s 27 starts with a total this season, 10 have hit the over.

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Julian Aguiar

  • In five games this season, the 23-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.06, with 4.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .247 against him.
  • The Reds have played while the underdog on the moneyline for three of Aguiar’s starts this season, and they won every time.
  • All five of Aguiar’s starts this season have ended in victory for his team.
  • Aguiar’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in three of five games.

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Twins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 78-68
Home 41-31
Road 37-37
One-Run Games 22-17
Scoring 5+ Runs 55-12

Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 71-77
Home 36-39
Road 35-38
One-Run Games 14-27
Scoring 5+ Runs 49-10

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