Predictions for Phillies vs. Mets: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 13
Friday’s game that pits the Philadelphia Phillies (88-58) against the New York Mets (80-66) at Citizens Bank Park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. Game time is at 6:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 13.
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Phillies vs. Mets Matchup Info
- When: Friday, September 13, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Mets Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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Phillies vs. Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -162 | +136 | 8.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has won 73, or 63.5%, of the 115 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This year, the Phillies have won 48 of 64 games when listed as at least -162 or better on the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 68 of 146 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Phillies had a 10-3 record in the 13 games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over seven times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Mets Betting Insights
- New York has won 27 of the 56 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (48.2%).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +136 or longer, the Mets have gone 5-4 (55.6%).
- In the 146 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for New York, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 72 times (72-69-5).
- In three games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Mets had a record of 2-1.
- When it comes to hitting the over, New York and its opponents are 6-8-1 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Phillies vs. Mets Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola
- The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.41 and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .243 in 29 games this season.
- Aaron Nola’s team has a record of 17-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Nola’s team has won 19 of his 29 starts this season.
- In games Nola has started this season, the teams are 14-14-1 at hitting the over.
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: José Quintana
- The 35-year-old has an ERA of 4.09, with 7 strikeouts per nine innings in 28 games this season. Opponents are hitting .245 against him.
- The Mets are 6-6 in Quintana’s 12 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Quintana’s team has put together a 14-14 record in his 28 starts.
- Jose Quintana has started 28 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 11 of them.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 88-58 |
| Home | 50-25 |
| Road | 38-33 |
| One-Run Games | 22-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 61-11 |
Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 80-66 |
| Home | 40-34 |
| Road | 40-32 |
| One-Run Games | 25-15 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 54-18 |
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