Friday’s contest that pits the Washington Nationals (65-81) against the Miami Marlins (55-92) at Nationals Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Nationals. First pitch is at 6:45 p.m. ET on Sept. 13.

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Nationals vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Nationals vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Nationals vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Nationals vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Nationals -148 +124 8 -115 -105

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Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has been victorious in 12, or 52.2%, of the 23 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Nationals have come away with a win three times in seven chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Washington have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 70 of 146 chances this season.
  • The Nationals were listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only two times in the past 15 games, and lost both matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Washington combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has gone 51-78 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 39.5% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Marlins have a 28-52 record (winning only 35% of their games).
  • Miami has played in 147 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 78 times (78-62-7).
  • In 14 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Marlins had a record of 7-7.
  • Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Nationals vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: DJ Herz

  • The 23-year-old has an ERA of 3.82, a 3.21 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.221 in 16 games this season.
  • When DJ Herz starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-2.
  • In games Herz has started, his team is 6-10.
  • Out of Herz’s 16 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Edward Cabrera

  • Over 17 games this season, the 26-year-old has a 4.88 ERA and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .235 to his opponents.
  • The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog in 14 of Cabrera’s starts this season, and they went 6-8 in those matchups.
  • Cabrera’s team is 8-9 in his 17 starts.
  • Cabrera’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 11 of 17 games.

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Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 65-81
Home 33-39
Road 32-42
One-Run Games 13-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 48-16

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 55-92
Home 28-47
Road 27-45
One-Run Games 22-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 34-17

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