Thursday’s contest between the Washington Nationals (65-80) and Miami Marlins (54-92) squaring off at Nationals Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Nationals, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will start at 6:45 p.m. ET on Sept. 12.

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Nationals vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Nationals vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

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Nationals vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Nationals vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Nationals -180 +150 9 -101 -128

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Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has come away with 12 wins in the 22 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Nationals have played as a favorite of -180 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • Washington and its opponents have gone over in 70 of 145 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In their past 15 games, the Nationals were listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only one time, a game they lost.
  • In its past 15 matchups, Washington and its opponents combined to hit the over on the run total six times (all 15 games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has compiled a 50-78 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 39.1% of those games).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +150 or longer, the Marlins have a 19-34 record (winning just 35.8% of their games).
  • Miami has played in 146 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 78 times (78-62-6).
  • In 14 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Marlins had a record of 7-7.
  • Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Nationals vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Mitchell Parker

  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.43, a 3.13 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.309 in 26 games this season.
  • Mitchell Parker’s team is 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Parker’s team has won 13 of his 26 starts this season.
  • Games started by Parker have a 14-12-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Darren McCaughan

  • In seven games this season, he has compiled a 7.40 ERA and averages 5.2 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .347 against him.
  • The Marlins were named the moneyline underdog for two Darren McCaughan starts this season — they won both.
  • His team has won both of the matchups he’s appeared in this season.
  • McCaughan’s two starts with a total this season both went over.

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Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 65-80
Home 33-38
Road 32-42
One-Run Games 13-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 48-16

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 54-92
Home 28-47
Road 26-45
One-Run Games 22-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 33-17

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