Predictions for Guardians vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 12
Thursday’s contest at Progressive Field has the Cleveland Guardians (84-62) taking on the Tampa Bay Rays (71-75) at 7:15 p.m. ET (on Sept. 12). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 victory for the Guardians, so expect a competitive matchup.
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Guardians vs. Rays Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, September 12, 2024 at 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: FOX
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Guardians vs. Rays Predictions
- Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Rays 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Guardians vs. Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -148 | +124 | 7.5 | -115 | -105 |
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Guardians Betting Insights
- Cleveland has won 59, or 65.6%, of the 90 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This year, the Guardians have won 22 of 35 games when listed as at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving Cleveland have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 67 of 146 chances this season.
- The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite in 10 of their past 15 games, and they finished 7-3 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Cleveland and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
Rays Betting Insights
- Tampa Bay has put together a 34-45 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 43% of those games).
- The Rays are 9-17 (winning only 34.6% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +124 or longer.
- Tampa Bay has had an over/under set by bookmakers 146 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 65 of those games (65-75-6).
- The Rays have played as underdogs in 12 of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
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Guardians vs. Rays Probable Pitchers
Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Gavin Williams
- The 25-year-old has an ERA of 5.25 and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .241 in 13 games this season.
- When Gavin Williams starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-6.
- Williams’ team is 4-9 when he starts this season.
- Out of Williams’ 13 starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.
Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Ryan Pepiot
- The 27-year-old has put together a 3.66 ERA and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings during 22 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .213 to his opponents.
- The Rays have a 4-5 record in Pepiot’s nine starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Pepiot’s team has won 12 of his 22 starts.
- Pepiot’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in nine of 22 contests.
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Guardians’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 84-62 |
| Home | 43-25 |
| Road | 41-37 |
| One-Run Games | 23-16 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 61-8 |
Rays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 71-75 |
| Home | 37-38 |
| Road | 34-37 |
| One-Run Games | 26-19 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 42-8 |
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