Predictions for Red Sox vs. Orioles: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 11
Wednesday’s contest features the Boston Red Sox (73-72) and the Baltimore Orioles (83-63) squaring off at Fenway Park in what should be a close matchup, with a projected 6-5 win for the Red Sox according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 11.
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Red Sox vs. Orioles Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 11, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: MASN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Red Sox vs. Orioles Predictions
- Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Orioles 5
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
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Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -142 | +120 | 9 | -120 | +100 |
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Red Sox Betting Insights
- Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 75 games this year, and has walked away with the win 41 times (54.7%) in those games.
- This year, the Red Sox have won 21 of 34 games when listed as at least -142 or better on the moneyline.
- Boston’s games have gone over the total in 75 of 143 opportunities.
- The Red Sox played as the moneyline favorite in 10 of their past 15 games, and they went 6-4 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 outings, Boston and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 15 games had set totals).
Orioles Betting Insights
- Baltimore has won 54.5% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (18-15).
- The Orioles have a 3-1 record (winning 75% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
- Baltimore has combined with opponents to go over the total 77 times this season for a 77-55-12 record against the over/under.
- In five games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Orioles had a record of 2-3.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Baltimore and its opponents are 8-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Red Sox vs. Orioles Probable Pitchers
Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Nick Pivetta
- The 31-year-old has pitched to a 4.38 ERA this season with 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.3 walks per nine across 23 games.
- Nick Pivetta’s team has a record of 8-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Pivetta has started, his team is 12-10.
- Games started by Pivetta have a 9-12-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Dean Kremer
- The 28-year-old has put together a 4.27 ERA and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings over 21 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .224 to opposing hitters.
- The Orioles have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Kremer’s starts this season, and they went 5-3 in those games.
- Kremer’s team has compiled a 9-12 record in his 21 starts.
- Dean Kremer has had 21 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 15 of those matchups hit the over.
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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 73-72 |
| Home | 34-40 |
| Road | 39-32 |
| One-Run Games | 16-10 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 58-12 |
Orioles’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 83-63 |
| Home | 42-33 |
| Road | 41-30 |
| One-Run Games | 14-16 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 59-9 |
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