Wednesday’s game at PNC Park has the Pittsburgh Pirates (69-76) going head-to-head against the Miami Marlins (54-91) at 12:35 p.m. ET. Our computer prediction projects a 5-4 victory for the Pirates, who are a slight favorite based on our model.

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Pirates vs. Marlins Matchup Info

• When: Wednesday, September 11, 2024 at 12:35 p.m. ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Pirates vs. Marlins Predictions

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

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Pirates vs. Marlins Betting Lines

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Pirates Betting Insights

• Pittsburgh has been chosen as the favorite in 60 games this year, and has walked away with the win 34 times (56.7%) in those games.
• This season, the Pirates have been victorious six times in 13 chances when named as a favorite of at least -162 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 71 of 145 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Pirates were the moneyline favorite for nine of their past 15 games, and they went 5-4 in those matchups.
• Over its past 15 matchups, Pittsburgh and its opponents combined to hit the over 10 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

• Miami has a 50-77 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 39.4% of those games).
• The Marlins are 23-44 (winning only 34.3% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +136 or longer.
• In the 145 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Miami, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 78 times (78-61-6).
• In 14 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Marlins had a record of 7-7.
• In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.

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Pirates vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Falter

• The 27-year-old has pitched in 24 games this season with a 4.45 ERA and 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .269.
• Bailey Falter’s team has been victorious in 75% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-1.
• Falter’s team has won 11 of his 24 starts this season.
• In games Falter has started this season, the teams are 12-10-2 at hitting the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Jonathan Bermudez

• Over his two games this season, opposing hitters have a collective batting average of .400 against him. He has a 5.79 ERA and averages 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings.
• Jonathan Bermudez did not pitch as a moneyline underdog a season ago.

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Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

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