Predictions for Phillies vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 11
Wednesday’s game between the Philadelphia Phillies (87-58) and the Tampa Bay Rays (71-74) at Citizens Bank Park has a projected final score of 4-3 based on our computer prediction, with the Phillies securing the victory. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 11.
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Phillies vs. Rays Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 11, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: BSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Rays Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Rays 3
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Phillies vs. Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -218 | +180 | 7.5 | +102 | -122 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has been victorious in 72, or 63.2%, of the 114 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- The Phillies have a mark of 18-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -218 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 68 of 145 chances this season.
- The Phillies had a 10-3 record across the 13 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Philadelphia combined with its opponents to go over the run total seven times.
Rays Betting Insights
- Tampa Bay has been the underdog on the moneyline 78 total times this season. It has gone 34-44 in those games.
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +180 or longer, the Rays have a 1-2 record (winning only 33.3% of their games).
- Tampa Bay has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 65 times this season for a 65-74-6 record against the over/under.
- The Rays have played as underdogs in 12 of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
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Phillies vs. Rays Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler
- The 34-year-old has an ERA of 2.59, a 4.13 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .962 in 28 games this season.
- Zack Wheeler’s team has won 65.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (17-9).
- Wheeler’s team is 17-11 when he starts this season.
- Out of Wheeler’s 28 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.
Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz
- The 25-year-old has an ERA of 3.27, with 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings in 10 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .223 batting average against him.
- The Rays are 3-3 in Baz’s six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Baz’s team has won five of his 10 starts.
- Baz’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of 10 games.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 87-58 |
| Home | 49-25 |
| Road | 38-33 |
| One-Run Games | 21-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 61-11 |
Rays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 71-74 |
| Home | 37-38 |
| Road | 34-36 |
| One-Run Games | 26-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 42-8 |
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