Predictions for Mets vs. Blue Jays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 11
Wednesday’s contest features the Toronto Blue Jays (69-77) and the New York Mets (79-66) squaring off at Rogers Centre in what is expected to be a competitive matchup, with a projected 5-4 win for the Blue Jays according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 3:07 p.m. ET on Sept. 11.
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Mets vs. Blue Jays Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 11, 2024 at 3:07 p.m. ET
- Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mets vs. Blue Jays Predictions
- Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Mets 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Mets vs. Blue Jays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -125 | +105 | 8 | -102 | -118 |
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Mets Betting Insights
- New York has won 52, or 59.1%, of the 88 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- The Mets have a win-loss record of 38-26 when favored by -125 or better by bookmakers this year.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 71 of 145 opportunities.
- The Mets went 9-2 across the 11 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings, New York and its opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- Toronto has won 36.5% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (27-47).
- The Blue Jays have a 21-32 record (winning just 39.6% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer.
- Toronto has played in 145 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-66-5).
- The Blue Jays have played as underdogs in 13 of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
- Toronto and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Mets vs. Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea
- The 32-year-old has pitched to a 3.43 ERA this season with 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.2 walks per nine across 28 games.
- Sean Manaea’s team has won 68.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (13-6).
- Manaea’s team has won 20 of his 28 starts.
- Games started by Manaea have a 13-14-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Blue Jays’ Starting Pitcher: Bowden Francis
- The 28-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.72, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 24 games this season. Opponents are hitting .208 against him.
- The Blue Jays are 4-4 in Francis’ eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Francis’ team is 6-4 over his 10 starts.
- Francis’ starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in five of 10 contests.
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Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 79-66 |
| Home | 40-34 |
| Road | 39-32 |
| One-Run Games | 25-15 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 53-18 |
Blue Jays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 69-77 |
| Home | 35-36 |
| Road | 34-41 |
| One-Run Games | 17-26 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 56-10 |
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