Predictions for Braves vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 11
Wednesday’s contest features the Atlanta Braves (79-66) and the Washington Nationals (64-80) clashing at Nationals Park in what should be a tight matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Braves according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 6:45 p.m. ET on Sept. 11.
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Braves vs. Nationals Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 11, 2024 at 6:45 p.m. ET
- Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
- How to Watch on TV: MASN2
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Braves vs. Nationals Predictions
- Score Prediction: Braves 5, Nationals 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Braves vs. Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -180 | +150 | 8 | -105 | -115 |
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Braves Betting Insights
- Atlanta has come away with 67 wins in the 117 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Braves have come away with a win 33 times in 50 chances when named as a favorite of at least -180 or better on the moneyline.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 51 of 145 opportunities.
- The Braves were the moneyline favorite in 10 of their past 15 games, and they went 7-3 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Atlanta combined with its opponents to go over the run total six times.
Nationals Betting Insights
- Washington is 52-69 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 43% of those games).
- The Nationals are 17-20 (winning 45.9% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +150 or longer.
- In the 144 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Washington, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 70 times (70-67-7).
- In 14 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Nationals had a record of 6-8.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
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Braves vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers
Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Max Fried
- The 30-year-old has pitched in 25 games this season with an ERA of 3.35, a 2.71 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.192.
- Max Fried’s team is 13-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Fried’s team is 15-10 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Fried have a 7-17-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Jake Irvin
- Over 29 games this season, the 27-year-old has put up a 4.28 ERA and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .250 to opposing batters.
- The Nationals have a 10-16 record in Irvin’s 26 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Irvin’s team has a 12-17 record in his 29 starts.
- Jake Irvin has had 29 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 16 of those matchups finished over the total.
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Braves’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 79-66 |
| Home | 40-31 |
| Road | 39-35 |
| One-Run Games | 16-22 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 49-14 |
Nationals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 64-80 |
| Home | 32-38 |
| Road | 32-42 |
| One-Run Games | 13-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 47-16 |
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