Monday’s contest at PNC Park has the Pittsburgh Pirates (67-76) taking on the Miami Marlins (54-89) at 6:40 p.m. ET (on Sept. 9). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 win for the Pirates, so it should be a competitive matchup.

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Pirates vs. Marlins Matchup Info

• When: Monday, September 9, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Pirates vs. Marlins Predictions

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Pirates vs. Marlins Betting Lines

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Pirates Betting Insights

• Pittsburgh has come away with 32 wins in the 58 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
• The Pirates have yet to play a game this season with better moneyline odds than -265.
• Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 70 of 143 opportunities.
• The Pirates had a 3-4 record over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
• Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Pittsburgh combined with its opponents to go over the total 10 times.

Marlins Betting Insights

• Miami has put together a 50-75 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40% of those games).
• The Marlins are 2-6 (winning only 25% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +215 or longer.
• Miami has played in 143 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 77 times (77-60-6).
• The Marlins have played as underdogs in 14 of their past 15 games and won eight of those contests.
• In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.

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Pirates vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Paul Skenes

• The 22-year-old has pitched to a 2.13 ERA this season with 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.4 walks per nine across 19 games.
• Paul Skenes’ team has been victorious in 64.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-6.
• Skenes’ team has won 12 of his 19 starts.
• In games Skenes has started this season, the teams are 10-8-1 at hitting the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Valente Bellozo

• The 24-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.78, with 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings in nine games this season. Opponents are batting .242 against him.
• The Marlins are 5-4 in Bellozo’s nine starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Over Bellozo’s nine starts, his team is 5-4.
• Bellozo’s starts went over the run total four times in nine games with a set total this season.

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Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

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