Monday’s contest at Citizens Bank Park has the Philadelphia Phillies (85-58) squaring off against the Tampa Bay Rays (71-72) at 6:40 p.m. ET. Our computer prediction projects a 5-4 victory for the Phillies, who are a slight favorite based on our model.

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Phillies vs. Rays Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Rays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Phillies vs. Rays Betting Lines

Phillies vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -205 +170 8 -103 -126

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has come away with 70 wins in the 112 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • This year, the Phillies have won 23 of 31 games when listed as at least -205 or better on the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over in 67 of 143 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Phillies had an 8-3 record over the 11 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over eight times.

Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has won 44.7% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (34-42).
  • The Rays have a 2-2 record (winning 50% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +170 or longer.
  • In the 143 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Tampa Bay, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 64 times (64-73-6).
  • The Rays have played as underdogs in 12 of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Tampa Bay and its opponents are 7-6-2 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Phillies vs. Rays Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez

  • The 27-year-old has pitched in 27 games this season with an ERA of 3.45, a 3.64 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.258.
  • Cristopher Sanchez’s team has a record of 12-12 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Sanchez’s team has won 14 of his 27 starts.
  • In games Sanchez has started this season, the teams are 11-14-2 at hitting the over.

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Cole Sulser

  • He has a 4.35 ERA and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are batting .222 against him over his seven games this season.
  • The Rays were the underdog on the moneyline for one Cole Sulser start this season — they won.
  • His team has won the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Sulser’s lone start with a total this season went over.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 85-58
Home 47-25
Road 38-33
One-Run Games 20-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 60-11

Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 71-72
Home 37-38
Road 34-34
One-Run Games 26-17
Scoring 5+ Runs 42-8

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