Pegula vs. Sabalenka Match Prediction and Odds for US Open, September 7, 2024
The final at the US Open is set for Saturday, with Aryna Sabalenka, the No. 2-ranked player, and Jessica Pegula, the No. 6-ranked player, playing for the championship.
Sabalenka is favored to take home the tournament title against Pegula, with -300 odds against the the underdog’s +240.
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Pegula vs. Sabalenka Match Info
- Tournament: The US Open
- Round: Final
- Date: Saturday, September 7
- Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center
- Location: New York, New York
- Court Surface: Hard
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Pegula vs. Sabalenka Season Stats
| Jessica Pegula | Aryna Sabalenka | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | World Rank | 2 |
| 33-11 | 2024 Match Record | 35-10 |
| 71-32 | 2024 Set Record | 75-26 |
| Western & Southern Open | Last Tournament | Western & Southern Open |
| Runner-Up | Last Result | Winner |
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Pegula vs. Sabalenka H2H and Insights
- Pegula is looking to maintain momentum after a 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 win over No. 52-ranked Karolina Muchova in the semifinals on Thursday.
- Sabalenka, on Thursday, advanced to the final by beating No. 12-ranked Emma Navarro 6-3, 7-6.
- Over the past two years, Sabalenka owns a 2-1 record against Pegula. Their most recent match, in the final of the Western & Southern Open on August 19, 2024, was a 6-3, 7-5 victory for Sabalenka.
- Thus far this year, Pegula has won 73.1% of her service games and 37.8% of her return games.
- Sabalenka has a 78.4% service game winning percentage and a 37.6% return game winning percentage on all surfaces (385 service games won out of 491, and 183 return games won out of 487).
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Pegula vs. Sabalenka Odds and Prediction
| Jessica Pegula | Aryna Sabalenka | |
|---|---|---|
| +240 | Odds to Win Match | -300 |
| 29.4% | Implied Prob. to Win Match | 75.0% |
| 43.2% | Computer Predicted Prob. to Win Match | 56.8% |
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