The final at the US Open is set for Saturday, with Aryna Sabalenka, the No. 2-ranked player, and Jessica Pegula, the No. 6-ranked player, playing for the championship.

Sabalenka is favored to take home the tournament title against Pegula, with -300 odds against the the underdog’s +240.

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Pegula vs. Sabalenka Match Info

  • Tournament: The US Open
  • Round: Final
  • Date: Saturday, September 7
  • Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center
  • Location: New York, New York
  • Court Surface: Hard

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Pegula vs. Sabalenka Season Stats

Jessica Pegula Aryna Sabalenka
6 World Rank 2
33-11 2024 Match Record 35-10
71-32 2024 Set Record 75-26
Western & Southern Open Last Tournament Western & Southern Open
Runner-Up Last Result Winner

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Pegula vs. Sabalenka H2H and Insights

  • Pegula is looking to maintain momentum after a 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 win over No. 52-ranked Karolina Muchova in the semifinals on Thursday.
  • Sabalenka, on Thursday, advanced to the final by beating No. 12-ranked Emma Navarro 6-3, 7-6.
  • Over the past two years, Sabalenka owns a 2-1 record against Pegula. Their most recent match, in the final of the Western & Southern Open on August 19, 2024, was a 6-3, 7-5 victory for Sabalenka.
  • Thus far this year, Pegula has won 73.1% of her service games and 37.8% of her return games.
  • Sabalenka has a 78.4% service game winning percentage and a 37.6% return game winning percentage on all surfaces (385 service games won out of 491, and 183 return games won out of 487).

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Pegula vs. Sabalenka Odds and Prediction

Jessica Pegula Aryna Sabalenka
+240 Odds to Win Match -300
29.4% Implied Prob. to Win Match 75.0%
43.2% Computer Predicted Prob. to Win Match 56.8%

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