Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 6
Friday’s contest between the Philadelphia Phillies (84-56) and Miami Marlins (52-88) squaring off at LoanDepot park has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Phillies, so expect a tight matchup. The game will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 6.
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Phillies vs. Marlins Matchup Info
- When: Friday, September 6, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Marlins Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -230 | +190 | 7.5 | -108 | -112 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has been the favorite in 109 games this season, and has come away with the win 69 times (63.3%) in those contests.
- This season, the Phillies have been victorious 14 times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -230 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Contests involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 64 of 140 chances this season.
- The Phillies went 7-1 over the eight games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 15 games had set totals).
Marlins Betting Insights
- Miami is 48-74 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 39.3% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +190 or longer, the Marlins have a 7-12 record (winning just 36.8% of their games).
- Miami has played in 140 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-60-6).
- The Marlins have played as underdogs in 14 of their past 15 games and won six of those contests.
- Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Phillies vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler
- The 34-year-old has an ERA of 2.63, a 4.07 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .978 in 27 games this season.
- Zack Wheeler’s team has been victorious in 64% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 16-9.
- Wheeler’s team is 16-11 when he starts this season.
- In games Wheeler has started this season, the teams are 11-16-0 at hitting the over.
Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Edward Cabrera
- The 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.33, with 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season. Opponents are hitting .244 against him.
- The Marlins are 5-8 in Cabrera’s 13 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- In Cabrera’s 16 starts, his team is 7-9.
- Cabrera’s starts went over the run total 10 times in 16 games with a set total this season.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 84-56 |
| Home | 47-25 |
| Road | 37-31 |
| One-Run Games | 20-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 59-10 |
Marlins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 52-88 |
| Home | 26-46 |
| Road | 26-42 |
| One-Run Games | 22-17 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 31-17 |
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